According to former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown, Obama is speaking to his disgraced former minister, Jeremiah Wright, in an effort to create excitement among black Americans for his reelection. As reported by the San Francisco Chronicle this weekend, Brown stated that
the polls show a very tight race. One thing they don’t show, however, is how race is a factor in the election.
By my estimate, you have to build in a three- to five-point slip from the poll numbers for any black candidate on election day. To overcome the slip, you need to pump up the black vote by equal measure.
And that’s not easy, because brothers and sisters aren’t among the top turnout groups.
In 2008, Barack Obama was able to compensate for the slip and then some. You would have thought it was Nelson Mandela coming out of jail. This time it’s not going to be that easy.
If Obama looks as if he’s going black, he could turn off white people. So he’s largely been lying low on the race issues – visibly pushing for the Latino vote, the gay vote, the women’s vote, but not the black vote.
But last weekend, he held a conference call with a collection of black preachers that included his old pastor, Jeremiah Wright. He wanted to talk to them about getting out the vote.