Study: Cities With BLM Protests Had Up to 6,000 More Homicides Than Expected
New research shows that cities that held Black Lives Matter protests saw a 10% increase in murders than was expected from 2014-2019.
Preliminary findings from a study conducted by Travis Campbell, a Ph.D. student at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, show that cities with protests had “somewhere between 1,000 and 6,000 more homicides than would have been expected if places with protests were on the same trend as places that did not have protests,” from 2014 to 2019, left-wing Vox reported.
The study also showed a reduction in lethal force by police, resulting in some 300 fewer deaths from 2014 to 2019:
From 2014 to 2019, Campbell tracked more than 1,600 BLM protests across the country, largely in bigger cities, with nearly 350,000 protesters. His main finding is a 15 to 20 percent reduction in lethal use of force by police officers — roughly 300 fewer police homicides — in census places that saw BLM protests.
Campbell’s research also indicates that these protests correlate with a 10 percent increase in murders in the areas that saw BLM protests. That means from 2014 to 2019, there were somewhere between 1,000 and 6,000 more homicides than would have been expected if places with protests were on the same trend as places that did not have protests. Campbell’s research does not include the effects of last summer’s historic wave of protests because researchers do not yet have all the relevant data.
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