Data: GOP Surging in the ‘Burbs, Dems Losing Hispanics, ‘Woke’ Messaging Alienating Swing Voters

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Let’s review a few more polling notes in the wake of last week’s Republican victories. One of the keys to the Virginia statewide sweep, in addition to extremely strong GOP base turnout, was a shift toward the GOP in the suburbs. This wasn’t just true in Northern Virginia, where Glenn Youngkin cut into Democratic margins, but in other suburban areas that swung red. We analyzed a recent NBC News poll showing substantial Republican nationwide advantages on major issues. This Politico/Morning Consult survey shows much of the same, with the opposition party developing strong leads among suburban voters in particular:

A full 15-point swing in Republicans’ favor on the economy in ten months, which isn’t far off from the 12-to-13 point shift in the vote margins in both Virginia and New Jersey (Biden margin vs. 2021 gubernatorial margin). Notice that the GOP now holds significant, sometimes commanding leads, in the ‘burbs on national security, the economy, jobs, immigration, and even guns. They’re also competitive on issues that typically heavily favor Democrats, like healthcare, voting rights, energy, and…education. On the education front, these two tweets may help explain why voters are moving away from Democrats:

(Read more from “Data: GOP Surging in the ‘Burbs, Dems Losing Hispanics, ‘Woke’ Messaging Alienating Swing Voters” HERE)

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