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Poll: Trump Beats This Presidential Candidate Head-To-Head; Receives 25% of Black Vote in General Election Match-up

trump-e1441585424624-400x255By Elliot Smilowitz. Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton head-to-head, according to a new poll released Friday.

The poll by SurveyUSA finds that matched up directly, Trump garners 45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent.

In other head-to-head matchups, Trump beats out Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) by 44 percent to 40 percent; Vice President Joe Biden by 44 percent to 42 percent; and former Vice President Al Gore by 44 percent to 41 percent.

Trump’s surge past Clinton marks a dramatic turnaround in the polls.

A CNN/ORC sampling of national voters in late June — just days after Trump entered the race — found that 59 percent supported Clinton to 34 percent picking Trump in a head-to-head race. (Read more from “Poll: Trump Beats This Presidential Candidate Head-To-Head” HERE)

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Trump Receives 25% of Black Vote in General Election Match-up

By Kyle Olson. For all the talk about Donald Trump allegedly driving minorities away from the Republican Party, could he actually bring people in?

A SurveyUSA poll released Friday shows in a hypothetical matchup with Hillary Clinton, Trump is ahead 45% to 40%.

But digging into the racial breakdown of the respondents is revealing. For example, the poll finds 25% of black respondents say they would vote for Trump over Clinton.

How impressive is that? Let’s look at the last several presidential results for Republicans.

When President Obama was running for re-election, despite a sputtering economy that was impacting blacks the worst, Mitt Romney was able to only muster 6% of the black vote, according to the Roper Center at the University of Connecticut. (Read more from this story HERE)

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Trump Just Made a Surprise Statement About Kim Davis That’ll Make Many People Furious

donald-trump-630Although many Republican presidential candidates this week defended or praised Kentucky clerk Kim Davis for refusing to violate her faith and principles by issuing licenses to same-sex couples seeking marriage, Donald Trump will not.

“The Supreme Court has ruled,” Trump said Friday. “It is the law of the land.”

Trump’s comments differed sharply from those of GOP candidate Mike Huckabee, who Thursday tweeted his defense of Davis, who has been jailed for her stand.

“Kim Davis in federal custody removes all doubts about the criminalization of Christianity in this country. We must defend ‪#ReligiousLiberty!” Huckabee tweeted.

“I’m a believer in both sides of the picture,” Trump said Friday on MSNBC’s Morning Joe.

Trump said Davis [should] not have become personally involved and could have allowed her deputy clerks to issue the licenses.

“She (Davis) can take a pass and let somebody else in the office do it in terms of religious, so you know, it’s a very … tough situation, but we are a nation, as I said yesterday, we’re a nation of laws,” he said. (Read more from “Trump Just Made a Surprise Statement About Kim Davis That’ll Make Many People Furious” HERE)

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Watch: Trump Security Detail Makes Headlines, Just Like the Candidate

120104_donald_trump_reuters_328Bodyguard Keith Schiller gives new meaning to being Donald Trump’s right-hand man.

The towering head of Trump’s personal security team got off a spinning right cross to the head of a protester outside Trump Tower on Thursday in a scuffle that’s become the latest flash point in the slugfest between Latinos and the billionaire presidential candidate.

The melee, caught on camera, led to news coverage of the emotional fallout of Trump’s comments about Mexican immigrants. But the incident also revealed a reality of U.S. presidential campaigns: Candidates are largely responsible for their own protection at this early stage in the election cycle.

Schiller has become the face, and knuckles, of that reality. Two weeks ago, Schiller stepped between his boss and Univision anchor Jorge Ramos during a news conference and physically ejected the influential journalist after Trump grew irritated by Ramos’s questioning.

The tactics of Trump’s team have begun to draw scrutiny among the professionals who, if the brash New Yorker continues to lead the GOP field, could take over his security detail in a few months. (Read more from “Trump Security Detail Makes Headlines, Just Like the Candidate” HERE)

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Kirsten Powers: Donald Trump, Evangelical Scam Artist

635766445937175712-Trump14“I play to people’s fantasies,” Donald Trump wrote in his 1987 memoir, The Art of the Deal. “I call it truthful hyperbole,” he explained. “It’s an innocent form of exaggeration — and a very effective form of promotion.”

The Bible calls this kind of behavior “lying.” Why am I bringing up the Bible? Well, it’s The Donald’s favorite book.

Or so he says. That claim might be part of that truthful hyperbole that serves as promotion for the reality TV star seeking the presidency of the United States.

Trump is a lot of things, but stupid isn’t one of them. He clearly determined that the only way to win the Republican nomination was through an appeal to the conservative evangelical vote. Despite his multiple divorces and remarriages, longtime support for abortion rights (until recently) and prideful self-aggrandizement, Trump has emerged as the favored candidate of evangelical voters.

An Aug. 16 Fox News Poll reported that “the top favorites among the white evangelical Christians are Trump (27%), Carson (14%), Cruz (12%), Bush (10%) and Huckabee (9%).” In South Carolina, 33% of evangelical Christians back Trump, according to a recent Monmouth University survey. His closest rival was retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 18%. Trump has been praised by Jerry Falwell Jr. as “one of the greatest visionaries of our time” and lauded by Franklin Graham for “shaking up” the political process. (Read more from “Kirsten Powers: Donald Trump, Evangelical Scam Artist” HERE)

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Former CIA Operations Officer’s Head ‘Spins’ Over Scooter Libby Question to Trump

image2577336xDonald Trump would not say if he would pardon former George W. Bush White House official Lewis “Scooter” Libby. Trump said the question was “not pertinent,” but Valerie Plame’s response on Twitter to The Daily Caller’s question to Trump about Libby was, “My head is spinning.”

Libby was convicted in 2007 for obstruction of justice, two counts of perjury, and one count of making false statements.

The initial indictment came in 2005 when an investigation into the leak of classified information regarding then CIA officer Valerie Plame became public in a Robert Novak column.

Former Bush Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage revealed in 2006 to CBS News, well into the investigation, that he was the Novak’s source not Libby. No one was ever indicted for actually leaking Plame’s identity. (Read more from “Former CIA Operations Officer’s Head ‘Spins’ Over Scooter Libby Question to Trump” HERE)

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Donald Trump Fires Back at Bush: He Should Lead by Speaking English While in the U.S.

Trump-Nashville-Getty-640x4802016 Republican frontrunner Donald Trump told Breitbart News that former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush should be speaking English—not the Spanish he spoke to attack Trump in Miami this week—on the campaign trail.

Trump had harsh words for Sen. Marco Rubio in this interview as well and lit into the donor class, all while saying that the “silent majority” in America is waking up and fighting to take back the country from the political class.

Trump also predicted that he will not only win the White House in 2016, but that he will be re-elected in 2020–predicting he will be a two-term president–and that at the end of his eventual eight years in the White House he will be known to all as a “great conservative” just like Ronald Reagan.

“I like Jeb,” Trump said. “He’s a nice man. But he should really set the example by speaking English while in the United States.”

“El hombre no es conservador,” Bush said in Spanish of Trump in Miami, according to the Tampa Bay Times. That means, according to that newspaper, that Bush is saying of Trump: “The man is not conservative.” (Read more from “Donald Trump Fires Back at Bush: He Should Lead by Speaking English While in the U.S.” HERE)

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Donald Trump: It’s Mental Health, Not a Gun Problem

109890806VA021_Comedy_CentrBy Jeremy Diamond. Donald Trump said Thursday he is opposed to tightening gun laws in the U.S. but is in favor of addressing mental health to prevent shootings, after a man shot two journalists on live television.

“This isn’t a gun problem, this is a mental problem,” Trump told CNN’s Chris Cuomo on “New Day.” “It’s not a question of the laws, it’s really the people.”

Calling the gunman a “very sick man,” Trump said mental illness is “a massive problem” in the U.S. He suggested more resources should be devoted to addressing mental health — hoping to prevent shootings like the one in Virginia, which he called “really, very sad.”

Trump did not offer specific solutions to addressing the mental health problem, but said there are ‘”so many things that can be done” and repeatedly said the Virginia shooter, who killed himself Wednesday after killing two others, should have been “institutionalized.”

“In the old days they had mental institutions for people like this because he was really, definitely borderline and definitely would have been and should have been institutionalized,” Trump told Cuomo. “At some point somebody should have seen that, I mean the people close to him should have seen it.” (Read more from “Donald Trump: It’s Mental Health, Not a Gun Problem” HERE)

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Donald Trump Says He Wants to Raise Taxes on Himself

By David Knowles. Republican front-runner Donald Trump began to flesh out his economic vision for America, and it includes raising taxes on the wealthy.

Trump said during a Wednesday interview on Bloomberg’s With All Due Respect that he would like to change the tax code.

“I would change it. I would simplify it,” Trump told hosts Mark Halperin and John Heilemann from the lobby of Trump Tower on New York’s 5th Ave. Specifically, Trump targeted hedge fund profits, which are currently taxed at a lower rate than regular income.

“I would take carried interest out, and I would let people making hundreds of millions of dollars-a-year pay some tax, because right now they are paying very little tax and I think it’s outrageous,” Trump said. “I want to lower taxes for the middle class.”

Asked whether his proposed changes meant he was prepared to raise taxes on himself, the billionaire framed his answer in terms of fairness. (Read more from this story HERE)

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Why Jeb’s Flip-Flopping Charges Against Trump May Flop [+videos]

trump_y_bush.jpg_1718483346Facing a barrage of attacks from Donald Trump, Jeb Bush is going nuclear on the Republican presidential front-runner by trying to paint him as a closeted liberal. A web video released Tuesday by the former Florida governor splices old clips of Trump expressing liberal positions.

The flip-flopper charge has been devastating to some past presidential candidates. But experts in the political science of flip-flopping doubt Jeb’s attacks will damage Trump.

“It wouldn’t surprise me if these attacks are less effective than you’d think,” said political scientist Robert Van Houweling, who co-authored a 2012 paper with Michael Tomz about the effects of “political repositioning” on voting. “He’s moving towards the primary electorate and a lot of people in the primary electorate will welcome that.”

Bush’s video features Trump calling himself pro-choice in 1999, identifying “more as a Democrat” in 2004 and praising Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton while she was a senator from New York. The video emphasizes Trump’s statements that he’s from New York . . .

Trump responded by assailing Bush for a “flailing campaign” and reiterating in two follow-up tweets his claim that the Floridian is beholden to his donors. Later Tuesday he posted an Instagram video with 2013 footage of a Jeb speech honoring Hillary Clinton’s public service.

No more Clintons or Bushes!

A video posted by Donald J. Trump (@realdonaldtrump) on

(Read more from “Why Jeb’s Flip-Flopping Charges Against Trump May Flop” HERE)

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God’s Trumpet, Positive Persuader or Narcissistic Blowhard? Theories on the Trump Phenomenon

donald-trump (2)Polling continues to show a surge for anti-establishment candidates with Donald Trump holding a commanding lead in the GOP primary. Some experts are amazed at the billionaire’s ability to completely flip previously unfavorable ratings to favorable, all largely without relying on paid media. As The Wall Street Journal pointed out, Donald Trump dominated Sunday news shows last week without even appearing on any program . . .

Here are the theories on the rise of the Trump phenomenon:

Master of Persuasion

Scott Adams, the creator of the Dilbert comic strip calls Trump the “Clown Genius.” Adams argues Trump’s mastery skills at persuasion and branding are everywhere in his campaign . . .

Positive Thinker

Carmen Fowler LaBerge, president of the Presbyterian Lay Committee, says, “Trump is tapping into the spirit and power of positive thinking that pervades the teachings of modern cultural evangelists like Oprah Winfrey and Joel Osteen.” (Read more from “God’s Trumpet, Positive Persuader or Narcissistic Blowhard? 3 Theories on the Trump Phenomenon” HERE)

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There’s a New Group of People Donald Trump Says He Wants to Remove From America’s Streets

DONALD-TRUMP-POLL-QUESTION-IMAGEBy B. Christopher Agee. After riding his tough stance on illegal immigration to a commanding lead among Republican presidential candidates, Donald Trump broached another crime-related topic at a recent campaign event in Tennessee.

In a message citing the need for and benefits of strong local law enforcement, Trump offered a direct promise to any gang members causing trouble under his administration.

“You know the gang members in Baltimore and Chicago,” he said, “and these are some tough dudes, they’re going to be out so fast.”

He told an enthusiastic crowd that a Trump White House would “get rid of those gang members so fast your head will spin.”

Though he did not give specifics regarding that plan, he did note the importance of allowing police to perform their duties unfettered by the demands of anti-cop activists.

“I know cities where people are afraid to even talk to people,” he said, “because they want to be able to retire and have their pension.” (Read more from “There’s a New Group of People Donald Trump Says He Wants to Remove From America’s Streets” HERE)

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Increase Taxes? Talk by Donald Trump Alarms G.O.P.

By Alan Rappeport. For years, Republicans have run for office on promises of cutting taxes and bolstering business to stimulate economic growth, pledging allegiance to a Reaganesque model of conservatism that has largely become the party’s orthodoxy.

But this election cycle, the Republican presidential candidate who currently leads in most polls is taking a different approach, and it is jangling the nerves of some of the party’s most traditional supporters.

The tendency of that candidate, the billionaire developer Donald J. Trump, to make provocative, headline-grabbing speeches has helped obscure an emerging set of beliefs: that he would raise taxes in certain areas, particularly on corporations that he believes do not act in the best interests of the United States.

In recent weeks, Mr. Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on American companies that put their factories in other countries. He has suggested he would increase taxes on the compensation of hedge fund managers. And he has vowed to change laws that allow American companies to benefit from cheaper tax rates by using mergers to base their operations outside the United States.

Alarmed that those ideas might catch on with some of Mr. Trump’s Republican rivals — as his immigration policies have — the Club for Growth, an anti-tax think tank, is pulling together a team of economists to scrutinize his proposals and calculate the economic impact if he is elected. (Read more from this story HERE)

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