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Final 2024 NY Times/Siena College Polls Shows Contradictions, Surprising Shifts In Key States

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The New York Times/Siena College final presidential election polls show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump locked in a dead heat, with just one point separating the candidates just two days before Election Day.

Polls between the candidates have significantly tightened over the past few weeks, with political pundits noting how close the race will be by Election Day. While NYT/Siena College typically identifies a “clear favorite,” regardless of the outcome, their final polls state this will “not be one of those elections.”

Data from the polls show that in a matchup across several key swing states, 48% of the 7,879 respondents surveyed said they would support Harris, while 47% would back the former president. Less than 1% of respondents indicated they had already voted for a third-party candidate, and 4% either did not know who they were voting for or refused to answer.

In a breakdown of several battleground states, Harris is leading by one point in Georgia and three points in both North Carolina and Wisconsin. In contrast, Trump is ahead by four points in Arizona, one point in Michigan, and the two candidates are dead even in Pennsylvania, according to NYT/Siena College.

A margin of error of plus or minus 1.3 percentage points across the seven battleground states and approximately plus or minus 3.5 percentage points in each state poll has been recorded. The outlet confirmed that 16% of white Democrats were more likely to respond to the polls than white Republicans, creating a “larger disparity” than in previous data and raising the possibility that “the polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again.” (Read more from “Final 2024 NY Times/Siena College Polls Shows Contradictions, Surprising Shifts In Key States” HERE)

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State Pulls 747,000 People off of Voter Registration Rolls

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The North Carolina State Board of Elections has removed over 747,000 people from its list of registered voters with less than six weeks until Election Day.

The records were purged from the state’s voter registration rolls over the past 20 months, according to an NCSBE press release published Thursday.

“The county boards follow careful policies to ensure that only ineligible records are removed, not those of eligible voters,” the release reads.

Three of the top reasons for removal were that the voter was determined to have been deceased, had duplicate registrations due to moving within the state, or had garnered an “inactive status” from election officials after failing to participate in two federal elections.

(Read more from “State Pulls 747,000 People off of Voter Registration Rolls” HERE)

WATCH: Dems Distance Themselves From ‘Defund the Police’ Movement, Socialism

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After unexpected and significant losses on Election Day, House Democrats on Sunday distanced themselves from the “defund the police” movement and the label of “socialism,” claiming that they were merely slogans or Republican smears.

“Not a single member of Congress that I’m aware of campaigned on socialism or defunding the police in this general election,” Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D., N.Y.) said on CNN’s State of the Union. “These were largely slogans or they were demands from activist groups.” The congresswoman, who is a member of the Democratic Socialists of America, added that “Republicans levied very effective rhetorical attacks against our party” by linking Democrats to the movements.

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D., Minn.), who called to “completely dismantle” her city’s police department this year, went further and said it was a Republican “narrative” that radical movements doomed Democrats in swing districts.

“All of those members who are part of the progressive caucus who are also in those swing districts won their races or are on track to win their races,” Omar told CNN. “This myth that the Republicans are using to develop a narrative to start to create a wedge between Democrats is really something we can’t allow to stick and that narrative to get hold.”

(Read more from “WATCH: Dems Distance Themselves From ‘Defund the Police’ Movement, Socialism” HERE)

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Protesters Ready To Lash Out No Matter the Presidential Result

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. . .Anti-Trump organizations have sent alerts to their followers over the past few days promoting massive protests regardless of who wins or loses the White House.

Cities and urban businesses around the country are bracing themselves for what is expected to be a raucous night on Tuesday, fearing that Trump wins a second term. If that’s the case, anti-Trump activist groups are expected to lash out violently against law enforcement and destroy private property, similar to Inauguration Day in 2017.

The New York City Police Department circulated a memo warning, “This November 3rd will be the one of the most highly contested presidential elections in the modern era. There is also a strong likelihood that the winner of the presidential election may not be decided for several weeks.” The memo added, “Accordingly, we should anticipate and prepare for protests growing in size, frequency, and intensity leading up to the election and likely into the year 2021.” . . .

Protesters said that if Trump loses, their focus will be on pressuring him to depart the White House when his term ends on Jan. 20, 2021. . .

Protest organizations, including ShutDownDC and Refuse Fascism, have been training their supporters for several weeks in preparation for election night, and for the likely days or weeks thereafter, they will be active in the streets. (Read more from “Protesters Ready To Lash Out No Matter the Presidential Result” HERE)

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Majority of Voters Worried About Election Day Violence

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Seventy-five percent of people in the United States are worried about the possibility of violence on Election Day.

Released on Thursday, a new poll by Suffolk University and USA Today asked respondents, “How concerned are you about the possibility of violence on Election Day and afterwards?”

Just under 36% said they were very concerned, and 38.5% said they were somewhat concerned. Eleven percent said they were not very concerned, and another 11% said they weren’t concerned at all.

One thousand likely voters were interviewed between Oct. 23-27. The margin of error for the survey was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. (Read more from “Majority of Voters Worried About Election Day Violence” HERE)

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