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Wall Street’s Forecast for 2016

Many Wall Street strategists are dusting off their 2015 targets for the S&P 500 index and trimming them for 2016.

Crashing-oil prices and fears of a global recession threw cold water on the index’s performance in 2015, causing it to fall short of the average expected gain of about 10%. With a handful of trading days left in the year and the S&P 500 SPX, -0.22% closing at 2,061 on Thursday (for a 0.1% gain year to date), only a handful of the more bearish analysts can hope to meet their 2015 targets — and only if a Santa Claus rally plays out.

(Read more from “Wall Street’s Forecast for 2016” HERE)

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Small-Firm Lawyer Takes on Wall Street and Wins, Twice

Photo Credit: REUTERS/SARAH CONARDBefore attorney David Wasinger decided to take on two of the biggest global banks in federal court in New York, he had visited the city just twice: once when he was 6, and the second time on a tour bus with his children.

As the sole partner at a five-attorney firm in St. Louis, Missouri, Wasinger was mostly focused on local business litigation and had never represented a whistleblower.

But in January 2012 an old business acquaintance was ready to go public with accusations of widespread mortgage fraud at Bank of America’s Countrywide unit, and he turned to Wasinger.

That touched off a series of events that put Wasinger at the center of two of the biggest legal cases to emerge from the 2007-2009 financial crisis, against Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase & Co, respectively.

In January, the U.S. Attorney’s office in Manhattan said it is seeking up to $2.1 billion in penalties from Bank of America after a jury in October found the firm liable for fraud over defective mortgages sold by Countrywide. Wasinger’s client, former Countrywide Executive Vice President Edward O’Donnell, was the star witness for the prosecution.

Read more from this story HERE.

Wall Street Tycoon Robert Wilson Gives Away $800 Million Fortune Before Jumping to his Death

Photo Credit: AP

Photo Credit: AP

A renowned Wall Street tycoon gave away his entire $800 million fortune before falling to his death in a suicide jump this week. Hedge fund multi-millionaire Robert W. Wilson, 87, leapt from the 16th floor of his luxury San Remo apartment building, a prestigious address in New York’s Upper East Side which has been the residence of Steven Spielberg, Demi Moore, Glenn Close, Dustin Hoffman, Bono, Steve Martin, Bruce Willis and Steve Jobs in the past.

According to the New York Police Department, he left a note at the scene. He had suffered from a stroke just a few months before.

“He always said he didn’t want to suffer and when the time came, he would be ready,” close friend Stephen Viscusi told the New York Post.

“His plan was to give all his money away. He told me recently, ‘I only have about $100 million to go.'”

He has since been praised as a “legend” by his peers, after pledging his entire worth to charity some years before he ended his life.

Read more from this story HERE.

Obama Wants the Volcker Rule on Wall St. Oversight Completed by End of Year – Part of Dodd-Frank

Photo Credit: Mark Wilson/GettyThe Obama administration, currently stumbling through the health care overhaul, has reached a critical stage in its other signature effort: reining in Wall Street.

The push to reshape financial oversight hinges on negotiations in the coming weeks over the so-called Volcker Rule, a regulation that strikes at the heart of Wall Street risk-taking. The rule, which bans banks from trading for their own gain, has become synonymous with the Dodd-Frank overhaul law that Congress adopted after the financial crisis.

Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew has strongly urged federal agencies to finish writing the Volcker Rule by the end of the year — more than a year after they had been expected to do so — and President Obama recently stressed the importance of the deadline.

While regulators are optimistic they will complete the rule soon, even after facing a lobbying onslaught from Wall Street, they have little time to overcome the internal wrangling that has stymied them for years.

The tension among regulators — five agencies are writing the rule — has centered on just how stringent to make it.

Read more from this story HERE.

Wall Street Shrugs off President, Focuses on Congress

Photo Credit: APWhen it comes to worrying over a possible debt default, Wall Street is brushing off President Barack Obama’s warnings and focusing its attention instead on Congress.

Investors say they currently view the words and deeds of Congress as having more power to move markets because the president is not viewed as being intimately involved in the ongoing fiscal negotiations — more of a spectator in chief as the House and Senate fight over how to break their impasse.

“The financial markets seem to believe at this point it’s really in the hands of the House and the Senate,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist with Deutsche Bank. “In other words, I think the market’s focused more on what might be happening between [Senate Majority Leader] Harry Reid and [Speaker] John Boehner than the president.”

This dynamic was on display in recent days as Wall Street tried to parse Washington’s jawboning.

Last week, Obama cautioned that Wall Street should be seriously worried that Congress may fail to raise the debt ceiling, saying in an interview with CNBC that markets “should be concerned” and that “this time it’s different.”

Read more from this story HERE.

No Signs of Government Shutdown Worries in Stock Markets (+video)

Photo Credit: AP

Photo Credit: AP

Fears about the federal government shutting down appear not to have reached Wall Street.

Stock markets opened higher Tuesday morning after Congress failed to authorize spending overnight. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average gained over the first half of the day, and the Nasdaq composite index also increased by over a percentage point.

To some extent, those gains reflected the fact that markets had already priced in the impact of a shutdown, which was viewed as likely by Monday afternoon when Republicans and Democrats remained far from a deal, if not by the close of business Friday before Congress’ weekend deliberations.

Nevertheless, said Craig Alexander, the chief economist for TD Bank Group, the morning showed “very sanguine movement, so clearly no deep fear in the markets.”

Private-sector economists have said the lapse in government spending could modestly reduce economic output for the quarter, and that a shutdown of longer than a month could start to disrupt the broader economy more significantly as government services were missed.

Read more from this story HERE.

Poverty Hits The Suburbs

Photo Credit: WND

By Garth Kant. The stock market is roaring but that doesn’t mean the nation’s economy is healthy. Warning signs include a startling growth of poverty in the suburbs and among the elderly who, increasingly, can’t afford to retire. Many other dark clouds are also gathering on the economy’s horizon, not just the nation’s astronomical $17 trillion dollars of debt.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has made a remarkable comeback from its recession low of 6,594.44 on March 5, 2009, to close for the week at 14,512.03. The Dow surpassed its previous all-time high on March 11 when it closed at 14,254.38.

But the gains on Wall Street aren’t being realized on Main Street, according to a study by the Brookings Institute. It found the number of people in the suburbs living in poverty skyrocketed by almost 64 percent between 2000 and 2011. That’s double the rate of growth of poverty in urban areas, and 16.4 million more suburbanites in poverty.

“I think we have an outdated perception of where poverty is and who it is affecting,” said Elizabeth Kneebone, a co-author of the report, adding, “We tend to think of it as a very urban and a very rural phenomenon, but it is increasingly suburban.” Poverty is also growing rapidly among older Americans.

Writing in Forbes, Edward “Ted” Siedle says millions of elderly Americans are falling into poverty and the country is facing the greatest retirement crisis in the history of the world. More and more older Americans face the dilemma of being too poor to retire and too frail to work. Siedle lists a number of causes for the predicament.

Read more from this story HERE.

More kids get free lunch in D.C.’s wealthy suburb

By Rachel Baye. The Washington area’s wealthy suburbs have seen a sharp rise in the portion of children receiving free, government-funded lunches over the last several years, an indication of rising poverty levels.

In Fairfax County, the second-wealthiest county in the country, nearly 27 percent — 47,874 — of the public school system’s 179,253 students receive free or subsidized school lunches this year, up from 21 percent — 33,479 — of 162,986 just five years ago, data show. Across the Potomac, Montgomery County, the 10th-wealthiest county in the country, has a similar story, with one-third of its 149,051 students receiving free or reduced-price school lunches, up from 26 percent of 137,745 five years ago.

“[The trend] puts strain on these districts and on these schools that may not have the infrastructure or services in place to meet the needs of a growing low-income population,” said Elizabeth Kneebone, a fellow in the Brookings Institution’s Metropolitan Policy Program.

Students who receive Free and Reduced Price Meals — or FARMS — are more likely to be behind academically, according to a recent study by Montgomery County’s Office of Legislative Oversight, requiring districts to provide more remediation in math and reading.

Read more from this story HERE.

Wall Street Legend Warns: A ‘Storm’ Is Coming

Photo Credit: BloombergNoted hedge fund manager Stan Druckenmiller, 59, on Friday warned that the U.S. economy is headed for a “storm” that could prove to be far worse than the financial meltdown of 2008.

But first, if you’re not familiar with his name, here’s what you need to know: He’s one of the most respected and successful hedge fund managers in the past 30 years.

Obviously, you don’t achieve that type of success (or notoriety) on Wall Street by running your mouth. That being said, if Druckenmiller, a former partner of billionaire liberal philanthropist George Soros, is predicting serious economic trouble for the U.S., perhaps we should listen.

“I see a storm coming, maybe bigger than the storm we had in 2008, 2010. And really, the reason could happen without people looking as for a lot of similar reasons that we could get into,” he said during an interview with Bloomberg TV’s Stephanie Ruhle.

“But the basic the basic story is, the demographic bubble I was looking at way back in ’94 that started in 2011, we are right at the first ramp-up of this thing that is about to hit,” he added.

Read more from this story HERE.