The GOP Primary – Whoever Wins…We Lose

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I have bad news. Hillary Clinton is going to be the next President of the United States. Looking at the likely potential outcomes of the GOP primary, none of them show a probable path for GOP victory.

Scenario #1 – Trump Wins the Nomination

Over a third of the Republican Party says they will never pull the lever for Donald Trump in the general election. If these numbers hold true, Trump cannot win. Even if Trump manages to convince two-thirds of Republican holdouts to jump aboard the Trump Train, the remaining ten percent of holdouts would still be enough to scuttle Trump’s Presidential dreams. Some have argued that what Trump loses in Republicans he will gain in independents and Democrats, but there’s no evidence for that. In fact, 54% of likely voters of all political stripes would never vote for Donnie. To win, Trump would have to convince people adamantly against him to pull a complete 180, and that rarely happens. Head-to-head polling contests between Trump and Hillary also predict doom. Trump has lost all ten of the last ten match-ups against Hillary never coming within five points of her lead.

Trump stands no significant chance of winning.

Scenario #2 – Cruz Wins the Nomination

In a fair contest, Cruz has a significantly better chance of winning against Hillary. Of the last ten head-to-head match ups, Cruz has won four. However, Cruz cannot secure the primary via statge delegates, so Cruz’s only hope is a contested convention, but contested conventions have always been the playground of the GOP establishment, a group which despises Ted Cruz. The establishment could allow the contested convention to proceed with a level playing field or back Cruz since he has the best chance of winning the general election, but it’s also possible Obama could become a hardcore conservative tomorrow and fight for the repeal of Obamacare. Sadly, none of these possibilities seem likely.

Even if Cruz does win, we still have to address the elephant in the room or perhaps more aptly the elephant who will leave the room. Back in February Trump disavowed his promise that he would back the eventual GOP nominee. It’s not hard to imagine Trump running third party either out of spite, ego or delusion, and if he does, 80% of Trump supporters will break from the GOP thereby scuttling a Cruz presidency.

Scenario #3 – The Establishment Picks a Nominee

Since both Trump and Cruz are anti-establishment candidates in their own ways, it would hardly be surprising if the GOP rigged the system for a candidate they could more easily control. John Kasich Jeb Bush, Scott Walker or Paul Ryan could all be tapped for the role.

If you combine the Republican support for Trump and Cruz, you see that a massive 72% of the GOP is saying that they are sick and tired of the establishment nonsense. Both sides will be infinitely ticked if their candidates are tossed aside for a puppet President. The base will see that the GOP doesn’t care about the choice of it’s constituents, and massive fractures will appear in the party as both Trump and Cruz supporters jump the sinking GOP ship.

Conclusion

Hillary will almost certainly win, but beyond just this election, this could easily be the end of the GOP for there’s no likely scenario that results in anything other than a fractured party. (For more from the author of “The GOP Primary – Whoever Wins…We Lose” please click HERE)

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1st-Graders Suspended for Plotting to Poison, Kill Classmate

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A group of first grade students at Winterberry Charter School in Anchorage, Alaska, hatched a plan to poison and kill one of their classmates, according to the principal.

The three students, who have since been suspended, planned to use silica gel, thinking it was toxic, according to KTUU . . .

An email sent from the principal to parents read, “Three students in the class were planning on using the silica gel packets (these are not actually poison, but the students believed they were) from their lunchtime seaweed to poison and kill another student.” (Read more from “1st-Graders Suspended for Plotting to Poison, Kill Classmate” HERE)

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It’s Only Trump

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The only question for Republicans is: Which candidate can win states that Mitt Romney lost?

Start with the fact that, before any vote is cast on Election Day, the Democrats have already won between 90 and 98 percent of the black vote and 60 to 75 percent of the Hispanic and Asian vote. Unless Republicans run the table on the white vote, they lose.

If there’s still hope, it lies with Trump and only Trump. Donald Trump will do better with black and Hispanic voters than any other Republican. But it’s with white voters that he really opens up the electoral map.

A Republican Party that wasn’t intent on committing suicide would know that. But Stuart Stevens, the guy who lost a winnable presidential election in 2012, says it’s impossible for Republicans to get one more white vote — and the media are trying to convince the GOP that he’s right.

Stevens says Romney tapped out every last white voter and still lost, so he says Republicans are looking for “the Lost Tribes of the Amazon” hoping to win more white votes: “In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 56 percent of white voters and won a landslide victory of 44 states. In 2012, Mitt Romney won 59 percent of whites and lost with 24 states.” (Read more from “It’s Only Trump” HERE)

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30 Years of ‘Free Trade’ Brings 400% Trade Deficit With China

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There is much debate over the negative effects of massive trade deficits, and what the best strategy for correcting them might be, but it’s hard to deny the U.S. trade deficit with China is staggering in scale … and it got that way after just a few decades of old-school “free trade” orthodoxy.

Raul Amoros of HowMuch.net puts the issue in perspective:

The start couldn’t be more balanced: in 1985, the U.S. exported $3.9 billion to China, and imported goods and services for the exact same amount. But by 2015, there was a staggering imbalance, to China’s advantage, of $365.7 billion – an all-time record, not just for U.S.-China trade, but for any bilateral trade, ever.

It’s not that U.S. exports to China haven’t increased. They have, and by a lot. America exported an impressive $116.2 billion into China last year, 30 times more than in 1985. That makes China the U.S.’s third-biggest export market, nearly twice as important as Japan ($62.5 billion), in fourth place. But that’s still a lot less than U.S. exports to Canada ($280.3 billion) or Mexico ($236.4 billion). Meanwhile, Chinese exports to the U.S. have exploded. In 2015, China exported $481.9 billion to the U.S. – an amazing 123 times more than in 1985.

Amoros illustrated this with an animated GIF that shows billion-dollar blocks building into towers of trade for the U.S. and China. The American side of the graph rolls in and out like the tide a few times, while the Chinese tower climbs relentlessly upward to four times the American size. (Read more from “30 Years of ‘Free Trade’ Brings 400% Trade Deficit With China” HERE)

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This Is What Trump Suggests Should Happen to Women Who Get Illegal Abortions

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Donald Trump sparked a firestorm on Wednesday when he said women should be punished for getting illegal abortions.

“There has to be some form of punishment,” the GOP presidential front-runner told MSNBC’s Chris Matthews during a combative interview.

Matthews had asked Trump whether he would seek to ban abortion and how he would enforce such a policy.

“The answer is that there has to be some form of punishment,” Trump said in the interview taped for a town hall forum airing later Wednesday . . .

Asked what a ban on abortion would entail, Trump said: “Well you know you’ll go back to a position like they had, where people will perhaps go to illegal places, but you have to ban it.” (Read more from “This Is What Trump Suggests Should Happen to Women Who Get Illegal Abortions” HERE)

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Scientists and Insurers Develop ‘Death Clock’ to Predict When Customers Will Die

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Insurance premiums could rise after scientists teamed up with the insurance industry to create an algorithm which will predict when customers will die.

The University of East Anglia is launching a four year study using huge databases of medical data to determine life expectancy and long-term illness.

The four-year project is being funded by a £800,000 grant from the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) and is using experts from insurance giant Aviva.

“People around the world are living longer,” said lead researcher Prof Elena Kulinskaya from UEA’s School of Computing Sciences.

“We want to develop software tools that use Big Data routinely collected by healthcare providers to forecast longevity. (Read more from “Scientists and Insurers Develop ‘Death Clock’ to Predict When Customers Will Die” HERE)

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Fox News Guest Reveals Origin of Cruz Sex Scandal Story [+video]

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Columnist and Fox News contributor Kirsten Powers threw cold water this weekend on speculation that Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump was the source for a National Equirer report accusing Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, of having multiple affairs.

When the story broke Friday, Cruz blamed Trump, who is friends with David Pecker, CEO of American Media, the company that publishes the Enquirer. Cruz has denied the allegations. Powers discussed the story’s origins over the weekend.

“The Daily Beast reported that it was shopped around by two — reporters by somebody who was a pro-Rubio person,” she said.

“I also happen to know that one of the people who was shopping the story around very aggressively was somebody who was completely anti-Trump, and was anti-Cruz also … but who was not a person who in anyway was supportive of Trump,” Powers added.

The Daily Beast had reported that, “A half-dozen GOP operatives and media figures tell that Cruz’s opponents have been pushing charges of adultery for at least six months now—and that allies of former GOP presidential hopeful Marco Rubio were involved in spreading the smears.” It reported that Breitbart News was shown some video, but declined to pursue the story on the grounds that the video was inconclusive . . .

“I knew nothing about it, I know nothing about it, ,” [Trump] said Monday on Fox and Friends. “I have no idea whether or not it’s true, but it’s likely he should try and blame me because he’s losing by a lot. I mean, I have many, many more delegates than him. I have millions of more votes than him in the primary. He’s losing by a lot, so he’s not going to blame Rubio, because Rubio’s out.” (Read more from “Fox News Guest Reveals Origin of Cruz Sex Scandal Story” HERE)

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Top Journalist Admits Mainstream Media Is Completely Fake: ‘We All Lie for the CIA’ [+video]

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With the increasing propaganda wars, we thought a reminder of just how naive many Westerners are when it comes to their news-feed. As Arjun Walia, of GlobalResearch.ca, notes, Dr. Ulfkotte went on public television stating that he was forced to publish the works of intelligence agents under his own name, also adding that noncompliance with these orders would result in him losing his job.

He recently made an appearance on RT news to share these facts:

I’ve been a journalist for about 25 years, and I was educated to lie, to betray, and not to tell the truth to the public.

But seeing right now within the last months how the German and American media tries to bring war to the people in Europe, to bring war to Russia — this is a point of no return and I’m going to stand up and say it is not right what I have done in the past, to manipulate people, to make propaganda against Russia, and it is not right what my colleagues do and have done in the past because they are bribed to betray the people, not only in Germany, all over Europe.


(Editor’s note: Keep in mind, “RT News” is a Russian-government influenced – some say “controlled” – news network.)

It’s important to keep in mind that Dr. Ulfkotte is not the only person making these claims; multiple reporters have done the same and this kind of truthfulness is something the world needs more of.

(Read more from “Top Journalist Admits Mainstream Media Is Completely Fake: ‘We All Lie for the CIA'” HERE)

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FBI Investigating Reports of 17 Men Chanting, Firing off Shots in California

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The FBI on Tuesday continued to investigate an incident in which 17 men were detained for reportedly firing off hundreds of rounds in a remote part of Apple Valley.

San Bernardino County Sheriff’s deputies and an FBI agent responded to the scene Sunday morning and detained the men – reportedly all of Middle Eastern descent – who were camping out in the Deep Creek Hot Springs area Sunday morning, authorities said.

A 911 caller reported hearing over 100 shots fired and seeing five to seven men wearing turbans and shooting “assault rifles, handguns, and shotguns,” according to a Sheriff’s Department statement…

Police scanner traffic posted online by the Victor Valley News Group described “a large group of subjects wearing turbans and chanting” at the scene.

“They were up all night chanting ‘Allah akbar’-type stuff,” an unidentified officer is heard saying on the audio recording. (Read more from “FBI Investigating Reports of 17 Men Chanting, Firing off Shots in California” HERE)

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Pay Attention, Christians. They’re Coming After the Churches Now.

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It may be a matter of some interest to you that the American left is now openly declaring its intention to shutdown your church and outlaw your religious expression entirely. If you’ve been paying attention, you won’t be terribly shocked by this revelation. They plan to come after the churches. That’s what they’ve always wanted, and now they intend to do it.

The hysterical reaction to Georgia’s religious liberty bill can be interpreted no other way. Gov. Nathan Deal has now decided — just one day after Easter, no less — to veto the bill because the outrage was so severe, and because he has the resiliency and backbone of a dead slug melting in the sun. In his statement explaining his decision, Deal insisted that religious liberty doesn’t include the right to “discriminate against anyone.” He took a steadfast and courageous posture, declaring that he refuses to be intimidated by “insults and threats” from pastors, nuns, and his local baptist church. On the other hand, for gay groups and large progressive corporations, he will fall to his knees in trembling submission and polish their boots after they finish kicking him repeatedly in the ribs.

On a day when we hear reports of a Catholic priest being literally crucified by Islamic State because he refused to abandon his faith, perhaps we might hope Christians in this country could at least withstand mean insults and online petitions. But we’ve learned not to expect anything — not even one minuscule, microscopic shred of bravery — from Christians like Deal. They will surrender every time, without fail.

And that’s not to downplay the pressure he faced. It was substantial, though not enough to justify his shameful capitulation. Hollywood was leading the charge, with heavy hitters like Disney, Time Warner, Starz, The Weinstein Company, AMC, Viacom, Marvel, CBS, MGM, NBC and other companies threatening to boycott if the bill passed. (Read more from “Pay Attention, Christians. They’re Coming After the Churches Now.” HERE)

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