What Happens If There Is No Employer Mandate for Obamacare?

Photo Credit: Pete SouzaBy Drew Gonshorowski.

A recent Urban Institute report provides the “news” that Obamacare’s employer mandate has negative labor market effects, particularly for low-income Americans. Even think tanks that support Obamacare have realized it broke the labor market, particularly for low-skilled workers.

This revelation shouldn’t be news to anyone, but the report does provide a set of important reminders:

In the short term, research suggests removing the employer mandate will not reduce insurance coverage substantially. The Urban Institute estimates employer coverage will be reduced by 500,000, but coverage gains of 300,000 in Medicaid and exchange coverage will result in a net loss of 200,000. This falls in the middle of estimates from the Congressional Budget Office and the RAND Corporation, both of which provided similar estimates in the past.

Ending the employer mandate would eliminate revenues the government could collect from penalty payments. The uncertainty of employers dropping coverage ties directly into how much federal revenue collection is reduced. Under the CBO’s estimates, revenues are reduced by $130 billion between 2014 and 2023. Under the Urban Institute estimates, revenues are reduced by approximately $46 billion, and “new revenue sources will be required to replace that anticipated to be raised by the employer mandate.” This means that without replacing the funds collected through penalizing employers, part of the Obamacare bill is left unpaid. Any replacement of funds, under the same logic, therefore will be detrimental to hiring as well.

Finally, this study serves as a reminder that Obamacare still distorts labor markets. According to the Urban Institute, “Creating arbitrary thresholds (e.g., potential penalties for firms of 50 or more workers not providing coverage for employees working 30 or more hours per week) for financial requirements will change the employment decisions in some firms, and at least some workers will be adversely affected by them.” Urban also states that costs could affect the hiring decisions of some firms. These points have been made many times before and should come as no surprise. Additionally, Urban states that costs are likely to be passed back to workers in the form of lower wages, and these costs will be placed disproportionately on low-wage workers. The CBO made this point recently, and I estimated exactly what this wage reduction would look like for low-wage workers.

This study is added confirmation Obamacare creates distortions in labor markets, something academics, the Congressional Budget Office and Heritage analysts have been pointing out for a long time.

This article appeared originally at Heritage.com and is re-published in full with the Heritage Foundation’s permission.

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ObamaCare Deductibles To Rise To $6,600 In 2015

By Jed Graham.

ObamaCare deductibles maxed out at $6,350 per person this year, causing no small shock among modest earners, but next year they’ll go as high as $6,600.

Businesses may be less than thrilled to learn that ObamaCare’s yet-to-be-enforced employer penalties will rise from $3,000 per subsidized full-time worker to $3,120.

Although the fines initially set to hit in 2014 were put on ice for a year, that hasn’t stopped the fines from growing. In 2015, employers with at least 100 full-time-equivalent workers will owe $2,080 for each of those workers after an exemption for the first 30.

By 2016, when the ObamaCare employer mandate is supposed to apply to firms with 50 full-time-equivalent workers, the fines will be higher still.

Annual increases in employer penalties and cost-sharing limits are determined by what the law defines as the premium adjustment percentage — how much average premiums rise for private, non-elderly coverage each year.

At least, that’s what the Congressional Budget Office thought. So, initially, did the Department of Health and Human Services.

Read more from this story HERE.

Text Messages Show Marathon Bombing Suspect Joking

Photo Credit: AP / Jane Flavell CollinsText messages show Boston Marathon bombing suspect Dzhokhar Tsarnaev joking with a friend not to text him hours after the FBI released Tsarnaev’s photo as a suspect in the deadly attack.

Dias Kadyrbayev texted Tsarnaev shortly after the FBI publicly released photos of Tsarnaev and his brother as suspects in the deadly 2013 attack.

Tsarnaev responded that he had seen the news, then texted, “Better not text me my friend,” then “Lol.”

In another text, Tsarnaev told Kadyrbayev he could go to his room and “take what’s there” followed by a smiley face.

Some of the messages had been released previously, but a complete transcript of Kadyrbayev’s text messages in the days after the bombing was released by prosecutors Thursday.

Read more from this story HERE.

Keystone Pipeline Underscores Democrats’ Vulnerability In 2016

Photo Credit: Irish CentralThe Keystone pipeline is a policy manifestation of the administration’s political dilemma. Obama is trying to retain supporters on the left while attempting to hold enough in the center to keep Democrats competitive in November’s midterm elections.

The White House’s Keystone decision delay is not surprising. Until it can solve its political dilemma, policy problems such as the Canada-to-Texas pipeline will have to wait.

The Keystone pipeline question is simple. Ultimately, the oil will be extracted from Canada, and it’s not a matter of if.

Keystone’s question is only to what extent America will benefit economically from the refining.

Yet the Obama administration has been struggling with it for five years. The president has struggled so long over Keystone because the politics are as difficult as the question of its building is straightforward.

Read more from this story HERE.

Pentagon Press Conference Turns Into Heated Debate Between Top Generals From US And China

Photo Credit: DoD

Photo Credit: DoD

A top Chinese general Thursday strongly defended Beijing’s territorial claims over disputed islands in the South and East China Seas and charged that the U.S. rebalance of forces to the Pacific was encouraging unrest in the region.

Gen. Fang Fenghui, chief of the general staff of the People’s Liberation Army, said “the rebalancing strategy of the U.S. has stirred up some of the problems which make the South China Sea and the East China Sea not so calm as before.”

Fang warned that China would respond to any attempts by Vietnam, Japan or other neighbors to assert their own claims over the disputed islands and reefs.

“We do not create trouble but we are not afraid of trouble,” Fang said at a Pentagon news conference after meetings with Gen. Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

Dempsey appeared to be slightly irritated as he waited to comment while listening to a long-winded response by Fang on the current dispute with Vietnam over offshore oil drilling rights.

Read more from this story HERE.

Thousands Flee California ‘Fire in the Sky’

Photo Credit: AFP / Bill Wechter

Photo Credit: AFP / Bill Wechter

Thousands of people fled raging wildfires in southern California which destroyed homes and triggered evacuations at a nuclear power plant, a military base and a Legoland amusement park.

The blazes, which also closed a major north-south highway, come amid record temperatures in the western US state, where the annual wildfire season typically starts much later in the year.

At least 15 buildings have been destroyed, including three homes, said Michael Davis, fire chief in the seaside resort of Carlsbad, north of San Diego.

“At times it looks like there’s fire in the sky with the wind whipping back and forth,” eyewitness Ryan Marble, waiting in a long line at a gas station to get fuel to evacuate, told The Los Angeles Times newspaper.

About a dozen non-essential staff at the San Onofre nuclear power plant were evacuated “as a precaution” due to a nearby brush fire, the plant said on its Twitter feed.

Read more from this story HERE.

Report: 7th Circuit Upholds Warrantless Entry, Seizure of Gun Rights Activist

Photo Credit: Reuters

Photo Credit: Reuters

Milwaukee police who forced their way into a gun rights advocate’s home without a warrant, took her for an emergency mental evaluation and seized her gun were justified under the circumstances and protected from her civil rights claims, a federal appeals court has ruled.

Krysta Sutterfield, who twice made news because of her practice of openly carrying a handgun — at a Brookfield church and outside a Sherman Park coffee shop — drew police attention in 2011 after her psychiatrist reported a suicidal remark Sutterfield made during a difficult appointment.

Sutterfield, 45, claimed police violated her rights against unreasonable search and seizure and Second Amendment rights to keep a gun, but a district judge dismissed the case.

The 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, in a 75-page opinion analyzing existing law about when police may act without search warrants, upheld the decision but suggested there might be better ways to balance personal privacy rights in the context of emergency mental health evaluations.

“The intrusions upon Sutterfield’s privacy were profound,” Judge Ilana Rovner wrote for three-judge panel. “At the core of the privacy protected by the Fourth Amendment is the right to be let alone in one’s home.”

Read more from this story HERE.

Who Watches the Watchers? Big Data Goes Unchecked

Photo Credit: AP

Photo Credit: AP

The National Security Agency might be tracking your phone calls. But private industry is prying far more deeply into your life.

Commercial data brokers know if you have diabetes. Your electric company can see what time you come home at night. And tracking companies can tell where you go on weekends by snapping photos of your car’s license plate and cataloging your movements.

Private companies already collect, mine and sell as many as 75,000 individual data points on each consumer, according to a Senate report. And they’re poised to scoop up volumes more, as technology unleashes a huge wave of connected devices — from sneaker insoles to baby onesies to cars and refrigerators — that quietly track, log and analyze our every move.

Congress and the administration have moved to rein in the National Security Agency in the year since Edward Snowden disclosed widespread government spying. But Washington has largely given private-sector data collection a free pass. The result: a widening gap in oversight as private data mining races ahead. Companies are able to scoop up ever more information — and exploit it with ever greater sophistication — yet a POLITICO review has found deep reluctance in D.C. to exercise legislative, regulatory or executive power to curb the big business of corporate cybersnooping.

The inertia — and lack of a serious legislative push — on private-sector data mining has several causes. Many Republicans are averse to any new regulation of business. Many Democrats are skittish about alienating campaign donors in Silicon Valley.

Read more from this story HERE.

Lamar Smith Calls ICE Release of 36,000 Criminal Immigrants A President-Sanctioned Prison Break

Photo Credit: AP

Photo Credit: AP

By Caroline May.

Texas Republican Rep. Lamar Smith reacted harshly to a new report detailing the crimes committed by 36,007 criminal immigrants that Immigration and Customs Enforcement released last year.

“This would be considered the worst prison break in American history, except it was sanctioned by the President and perpetrated by our own immigration officials. These criminal immigrants should have been deported to ensure that they could never commit crimes on U.S. soil. But instead, ICE officials chose not to detain them and instead released them back onto American streets,” Smith said in a statement Monday.

An internal Department of Homeland Security document obtained by the Center for Immigration Studies, a limited immigration group, and shared with Breitbart News Monday revealed that last year ICE released 36,007 criminal immigrants who had nearly 88,000 convictions.

The document further broke down the crimes and number of convictions – including 193 homicide convictions, 426 sexual assault convictions, 303 kidnapping convictions, and 1,075 aggravated assault convictions.

Read more from this story HERE.

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criminal-illegal-aliensRelease of 36,000 criminal illegals impeachable offense?

By WND.

The reported release last year of more than 36,000 criminal illegal aliens is part of a larger annual trend of thousands of such releases since 2009, according to the authors of a book documenting the case for impeaching President Obama.

The Obama administration’s release of the criminals, in numbers larger than what is publicly known, has generating crime waves and serves as a clear and present danger to the public, argue New York Times bestselling authors Aaron Klein and Brenda J. Elliott in their book “Impeachable Offenses: The Case to Remove Barack Obama from Office.”

On Monday, a Center for Immigration Studies report found that in 2013 the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, or ICE, released violent criminals, including murderers, rapists, kidnappers and drug dealers.

The offenders were among the 36,007 criminal illegal aliens released last year who committed 87,818 crimes, including 15,635 for driving while intoxicated.

The statistics shows ICE released illegals jailed for 9,187 dangerous drug infractions, 426 sexual assault convictions, 303 kidnapping convictions, 193 homicide convictions, 1,317 domestic violence convictions and 1,075 aggravated assault convictions.

Read more from this story HERE.

Catholic Leaders Sound Alarm At Prayer Breakfast: ‘The Days Of Acceptable Christianity Are Over’

Photo Credit: Wathiq Khuzaie / Getty

Photo Credit: Wathiq Khuzaie / Getty

Despite the bright, warm sunshine outside, a pessimistic fog spread over the Washington Hilton early this morning as the 10th annual National Catholic Prayer Breakfast was underway in the ballroom.

“My message for you today is a somber one,” said Professor Robert George, who lectures on civil liberties at Princeton, to a packed ballroom of Catholics that included failed Virginia gubernatorial hopeful Ken Cuccinelli. “The days of acceptable Christianity are over. The days of comfortable Catholicism are past. …It’s not easy anymore. There are costs to discipleship, heavy costs that are burdensome to bear.”

Soon enough he’d get specific. George stressed that there are “powerful forces and currents in our society that press us to be ashamed of the Gospel. For example, if you believe that marriage is the consensual union between a man and a woman, you’re portrayed as bigoted, even hateful. …If you believe these things, some forces say you are a bigot [who is] against homosexuality [and] you ought to be ashamed.”

Celebrities didn’t fare much better than gays. The Jay-Z’s and Kim Kardashians of the world may want to cover their ears for this, but the keynote speaker, His Eminence Cardinal Sean O’Malley, didn’t hold back on his feelings about celebs. “We live in a world obsessed by celebrities,” he said. “All too often celebrities replace heroines, often they live lives that are superficial and chaotic.”

On a jollier note, O’Malley came with the “warmest of greetings” from Pope Francis. He quickly followed with orders: “If he were here, I’m sure he would [encourage] you to renew the missionary style of the church.” He said Catholics must move from “a maintenance mode to a missionary one. The mission of the church is making disciples.”

Read more from this story HERE.

Manning Could Move To Civilian Prison For Hormone Therapy

Photo Credit: U.S. Army handout / Reuters / Landov

Photo Credit: U.S. Army handout / Reuters / Landov

The Pentagon is working on a prison transfer for convicted WikiLeaks source Pvt. Chelsea Manning, who has requested hormone therapy. The plan would allow Manning to serve time in a civilian prison, where such therapy is available.

Manning’s first name was Bradley when the soldier made headlines for sending a trove of classified documents to the anti-secrecy website WikiLeaks.

Shortly after being sentenced by a military court, Manning said she wanted to live as a woman while in prison, citing an Army psychiatrist’s earlier diagnosis of gender identity disorder.

Read more from this story HERE.