Republicans Appear to Hold Edge in Senate Races, as Party Fortunes Ebb and Flow

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Republicans appear to hold a slight edge in the battle next year to control the Senate. But the wild swings in the political fortunes for both parties in the closing months of 2013 made clear the situation could drastically change.

“The playing field is currently tilted toward Republicans,” Jennifer Duffy, of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, observes in her recent forecast, with several moderate Democrats in serious danger of losing re-election.

Such a scenario seemed hard to imagine in late summer when Tea Party-backed Texas Sen. Ted Cruz barnstormed the country to rally support for the essentially impossible task of “defunding” ObamaCare.

However, Republicans’ standing among voters appeared to take an even bigger turn for the worse when Cruz returned to Capitol Hill and led the party’s most conservative wing in a failed effort to shut down the government unless Congress defunded President Obama’s signature health care law.

“There’s a belief that getting the [Senate] majority in 2014 is possible and we don’t want to go down roads that make it harder,” South Carolina Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham said at the time, adding the Cruz-led tactic was “a bridge too far.”