Clinton Is Far from Inevitable in 2016

Photo Credit: National Review Will Hillary Clinton be elected America’s next president? The polls suggest she will.

Recent polls compiled by Real Clear Politics show her winning 67 percent of the vote in Democratic primaries, with no other candidate above 11 percent. General-election polling shows Clinton with an average lead over various possible Republican nominees of 51 to 39 percent.

But an election isn’t over until it is over, and this one hasn’t started. For one thing, no one is sure whether Clinton will actually run. She turns 69 in 2016 (the same age as Ronald Reagan when he was first elected in 1980) and she may consider that her achievements in eight years as first lady and U.S. senator and four years as secretary of state are enough for one lifetime.

Her achievements in that last office may look less impressive than they did in the first Obama term when majorities expressed approval of the president’s foreign policy. Clinton’s proudly proclaimed “reset” with Russia suddenly looks less like a triumph than a misfire.

She’s also had health scares: a blood clot behind her right knee in 1998 and another in her skull in December 2012.

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