Battleground State Freefall for Trump Continues
With less than four weeks remaining in the 2016 race it couldn’t look much worse the campaign of Donald Trump. His free fall in key battleground state polling has continued unabated. What makes it even more concerning for Trump is that most of the battleground state polling has not even taken into account the Access Hollywood audio tape.
As usual, I took a look at the RealClearPolitics polling average in 14 battleground states on Wednesday afternoon, October 12, 2016. It was compared to the data from the previous week. In 11 of those 14 states Trump lost ground to Clinton, one state showed no change, and in two states Trump showed a slight up tic.
Clinton now leads in 10 of the 14 states shown in the week-by-week graphics below. Trump leads in four. Clinton leads by over six points or more in six of those states, Trump leads by greater than six in one of them. Of particular concern to Trump is Arizona, where he now holds a slim one point margin.
If the election were held today, Trump would lose in an Electoral College rout.
As an indicator of how bad Trump’s situation is, look at this tweet from the Marquette University Law School polling department. It illustrates how Trump’s numbers deteriorated after the release of the Billy Bush conversation last Friday.
Among likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%
Friday: Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 49%, Trump 30%— MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) October 12, 2016
That is shocking. Trump went from a one point lead pre-tape to a 19 point deficit two days later.
Trump’s problems are compounded by the fact that instead of going on offense on Hillary Clinton, like he did at the debate this week, he has spent the majority of his time attacking his fellow Republicans for not loving him enough.
It’s going to be a long three weeks for the Trump campaign. (For more from the author of “Battleground State Freefall for Trump Continues” please click HERE)
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