Oh My: New Poll Shows Big Trouble for Dems in Crucial Senate Race

Last week, we told you about the mess in which Democratic Florida Sen. Bill Nelson finds himself, having claimed without evidence that the Russians have penetrated his state’s voter registration systems. This assertion has been hotly contested by the FBI, DHS, and Floridian election officials — including in Democratic counties. It also earned the little-known incumbent Four Pinnochios from the Washington Post’s fact checker. Meanwhile, Gov. Rick Scott, the GOP nominee in the race, has run an aggressive campaign, building a broad and diverse coalition of support. Nelsons floundering and Scott’s hard work seem to be breaking through with voters:

Still 11 weeks from their election showdown, Republican Gov. Rick Scott has opened up a six-point lead on Democratic U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson in Florida’s U.S. Senate race, a new poll finds. The poll from the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economic Polling Initiative gives Scott 45 percent, Nelson 39 percent, with 16 percent of voters still undecided in a head-to-head match-up in the Nov. 6 general election. The trend is going Scott’s way. The last FAU-BEPI poll, released in July, had Scott leading Nelson 44-40 percent.

Four of the last six public polls in this race give Scott the lead, including the two most recent surveys. There’s still a long way to go — and national events may shake up the status quo in a host of races, especially in a year that seems to favor the out party — but Democrats are clearly starting to worry about Nelson’s vulnerability:

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