ABC Shuts Down Pro-Leftist Polling Site That Claimed Harris Had Better Chance Than Trump
When ABC News announced it was shutting down the pollster FiveThirtyEight, it called to mind the site’s claim that former Vice President Kamala Harris stood a better chance than now-President Donald Trump in November’s election. The shutdown shows legacy media, which have long inaccurately boosted perceived support for Democrats, are finally losing control.
Just before the election, FiveThirtyEight claimed Harris stood a 50 percent chance of winning to Trump’s 49 percent. It said, “Polls from more frequently polled, but less well-regarded, firms had shown a more Trump-leaning race” but shifted toward Harris before the election.
FiveThirtyEight claimed Trump stood just a 29 percent chance of winning the national popular vote against Harris’ 71 percent. It also claimed Trump had a meager 1 percent chance of winning in a “landslide” of more than 350 electoral votes.
These predictions could hardly be further from the truth. While Trump didn’t technically win a “landslide” by the polling site’s standards, he won the electoral college 312-226 — winning all seven swing states, flipping six that went for former President Joe Biden in 2020. He also won the national popular vote with 49.9 percent to Harris’ 48.4 percent, becoming the first Republican president to win the popular vote in 20 years.
Nate Silver, the founder and former lead editor of FiveThirtyEight, even suggested Harris could turn Florida blue — giving her a 21 percent chance of winning the state. “A one-in-five chance isn’t bad, but it isn’t great either.” When another X user said a Trump would win Florida by a “minimum” of eight points, Silver said to “stop huffing the Twitter vibes.”
Dude you've gotta stop huffing the Twitter vibes. How much money are you willing to bet on a Trump +8 point spread in Florida?
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 4, 2024
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