More Data Confirms Biden’s Not-So-Secret 2024 Advantage, and Republicans Need to Take It Seriously

Looking purely at the recent polling, Donald Trump must be considered current favorite to win November’s national election. We’ve explored how his felony convictions in New York City have not altered this overall trajectory, which has appeared to favor the challenger for months now. The oddsmakers and political forecasters seem to agree with this assessment, pegging the 45th president as likelier than not to become the 47th president in various published models. For what it’s worth, I don’t put a ton of stock into these models, especially with four-plus months left to go, but they’re still worth mentioning. As of this writing, Trump leads Biden (in RealClearPolitics five-candidate field averages) by nearly five points in Arizona, six points in Georgia, five points in Nevada, five points in North Carolina, and two points in Pennsylvania. Michigan and Wisconsin are almost exactly tied. Beyond these ‘big seven’ battlegrounds, Democrats have at least some cause for concern about an expanding map. I’m still rather skeptical about Trump’s chances in either of these states when all is said and done, but these are averages from late last week, not just single snapshots, as the election year summer gets underway:

Let’s put it this way: If Democrats are really sweating Minnesota or Virginia on election night, there’s a very good chance Trump will be re-elected. Based on the head-to-head polling, the incumbent’s approval rating, and broad voter sentiments, betting on a Trump victory makes sense. However. I will once again return to a fixation I’ve been writing about for months, based on some fresh data. As I’ve been pointing out, Biden enjoys the built-in advantage of ‘high propensity’ voters favoring his party by a meaningful margin. The Americans who are absolutely guaranteed to vote now lean decidedly blue. Democrats also have a well-established and lavishly-funded turnout and ballot operation that will wring every last vote out of their machine, fueled by people for whom voting (often early, by mail) is basically a religious rite. Republicans, by contrast, are generally skeptical of non-traditional voting methods, and their coalition is increasingly reliant upon ‘low propensity,’ or haphazard (sometimes at best) voters participating. Advantage: Democrats. Public opinion data also shows that many would-be voters are deeply disenchanted with their choices this year:

This is relevant because it speaks to the battle over the key “double disapprovers,” among whom Biden won handily in 2020. Polling this year shows this demographic more evenly split, some with Trump leading. But there’s a decent chance that a lot of these unsatisfied millions just stay home this fall. If turnout is relatively low, the importance of cranking out the base will rise for each major party. And Democrats are just better at that than Republicans are these days. The New York Times has published new data fortifying the high vs. low propensity voter dynamic I’ve been harping on so much. The more engaged the voter, the more likely she or he is to be a Democrat:

(Read more from “More Data Confirms Biden’s Not-So-Secret 2024 Advantage, and Republicans Need to Take It Seriously” HERE)

Photo credit: Gage Skidmore via Flickr

WATCH: Biden Yells Gibberish At Press

In recent weeks, there’s been plenty of video evidence speaking to concerns for President Joe Biden’s cognitive decline in real time as he runs for reelection. White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre earlier on Monday got snappy with the press as she gaslit the American people over such concerns, the same day that the president had another troubling moment.

Also on Monday, Biden met with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. As members of the press tried to get questions in while they were being escorted out, Biden emitted some very strange noises. He then laughed hysterically as if he’d just told the funniest joke in the world.

Reporters can be heard yelling questions about if Biden “is worried” about something, and it appears he too mentions being “worried,” but that’s really the only intelligible word.

(Read more from “WATCH: Biden Yells Gibberish At Press” HERE)

Top Ex-Spies Who (Still) Lie About Hunter Biden’s Laptop Are Anything but ‘Patriots’

By New York Post. Nearly four years after 51 former top intel officials smeared The Post and misled the nation about Hunter Biden’s laptop, not one has any regrets — even though the FBI and Justice Department have confirmed the computer’s authenticity and federal prosecutors even cited it as evidence in the first son’s gun case.

Indeed, the 51 “spies who lied” in a letter falsely suggesting the laptop report was “Russian disinfo” are proud of deceiving Americans, with a lawyer for some even calling their deception “patriotic.”

No: They sold out their own credibility for a mess of pottage by intentionally misleading the public, and giving pro-Biden media outlets an excuse to dismiss and censor The Post’s 2020 election-eve scoop, as well as offering Joe Biden an escape hatch on the issue in his then-upcoming debate with Donald Trump.

Again: A host of top intelligence community leaders effectively lied to the American people “for their own good”; after that, how can anyone trust any “information” the IC offers?

And how does the IC justify all the billions the taxpayers spend on it, when its leaders manipulate the public instead of serving it honestly? (Read more from “Top Ex-Spies Who (Still) Lie About Hunter Biden’s Laptop Are Anything but ‘Patriots’” HERE)

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Not One of the 51 Intel Officials Who Illegally Changed the Outcome of the 2020 Election Regret Their Lies

By Fox News. Dozens of former intelligence officials who signed a letter warning Hunter Biden’s infamous laptop “has all the classic earmarks” of Russian disinformation are either declining to retract or doubling down despite the device being entered as evidence in his ongoing criminal trial.

Fox News Digital reached out to all 51 individuals who signed the heavily scrutinized October 2020 letter, published just before the 2020 presidential election, asking if they regretted signing it now that the laptop is being used by the prosecution arguing Hunter committed a federal gun crime.

“No,” former Obama Director of National Intelligence James Clapper simply said, also declining to publicly remove his name from the letter or concede that those signing onto it should have waited longer for more information to develop.

Mark S. Zaid, an attorney representing signatories Ronald Marks, Marc Polymeropoulos, Douglas Wise, Paul Kolbe, John Sipher, Emile Nakhleh and Gerald O’Shea, sent Fox News Digital a statement on behalf of his clients that doubled down on the importance of the letter and claimed it was “patriotic” to sign it.

“There continues to be by many a calculated or woefully ignorant interpretation of the October 2020 letter signed by fifty-one former intelligence officials concerning Hunter Biden’s laptop,” Zaid, who once posted online that Trump’s election was “very scary,” said in the statement. (Read more from “Not One of the 51 Intel Officials Who Illegally Changed the Outcome of the 2020 Election Regret Their Lies” HERE)

New Study Has Disturbing News for Young Men Who Got COVID Shot

A new study has suggested COVID shots, which already are known to cause serious side effects including heart ailments that can be fatal, also triggered a decline in male fertility.

A study done by researchers in Denmark analyzed fertility levels from thousands of men ages 18-45, with half in the 18-24 age group, and revealed COVID mRNA shots “have caused widespread harm to fertility rates.”

“During the study, the researchers examined the quality of semen in potential donors in Denmark between 2017 and 2022,” explained a report in Slay News.

Of those accepted as donors, about one-third of the total, “The study revealed that motile sperm concentration dropped by 16 percent,” a drop seen only during 2019-2022 when mRNA shots were being delivered.

The report said 587 of the donors during that time “saw their parameters worsen,” while 425 didn’t. (Read more from “New Study Has Disturbing News for Young Men Who Got COVID Shot” HERE)

‘Bunch of BS’: Attendee at Trump’s CEO Meeting Refutes Media Reports

Former President Donald Trump delivered a “focused” pitch to America’s top CEOs and received a loud ovation at the conclusion of his Business Roundtable remarks Thursday, an attendee at the meeting told The Daily Signal.

That’s a stark contrast to reporting from New York Times columnist and CNBC host Andrew Ross Sorkin, who told “Squawk Box” viewers Friday that Trump was “meandering, could not keep a straight thought, was all over the map.” Sorkin was not present at the Business Roundtable meeting.

Hours later, White House Senior Deputy Press Secretary Andrew Bates amplified Sorkin’s spin on X. CNBC and other liberal media outlets ran with the story, and an MSNBC blogger suggested Trump’s appearance raised “concerns about his cognitive state.” . . .

“It’s a clear bunch of BS,” according to the attendee. “This is a farce all the way around.”

News outlets mostly stuck to the substance of Trump’s remarks in their initial coverage Thursday: He spoke about cutting corporate taxes from 21% to 20%, after reducing the rate from 35% during his presidency.

(Read more from “‘Bunch of BS’: Attendee at Trump’s CEO Meeting Refutes Media Reports” HERE)

Photo credit: Gage Skidmore via Flickr

Dan Bongino With the Most On-Fire, Righteous ‘Deep State’ Rant You’ll Ever Hear

Every once in a while, you stumble upon a rant that’s so raw, so virtuous, and so fiery that it ignites a spark in your soul. That’s exactly what happened when former Secret Service agent and Trump loyalist Dan Bongino let loose in a blistering tirade against the Deep State. This was an unbridled outburst, a mix between a defiant “F YOU” and a rallying cry for Americans to stand up against these unelected tyrants, including the chief unelected dictator, Joe Biden himself.

Bongino lays it all out, clearly explaining to the American people exactly what these scumbags are up to, both publicly and behind the scenes. From employing classic Marxist tactics to projecting and blaming decent Americans for the very misdeeds they’re committing, Dan recalls the 51 intelligence officers who falsely claimed Hunter’s laptop was ‘Russian disinformation,’ and how these same deceivers are now warning that Trump’s reelection would jeopardize national security. Are you kidding me? After these traitors have tried to dismantle the very foundations of our country and betray everything our Founding Fathers fought for, they sure have some nerve.

And that’s exactly what Dan zeroes in on. He says that when President Trump retakes the White House, an investigation will be demanded, and Joe Biden will be held fully accountable. But don’t expect these Deep State players to come around—they won’t suddenly embrace “truth and justice” and reform. No, they need to be dealt with the same relentless, uncompromising way they’ve treated Trump and his supporters—zero mercy.

(Read more from “Dan Bongino With the Most On-Fire, Righteous ‘Deep State’ Rant You’ll Ever Hear” HERE)

Photo credit: Gage Skidmore via Flickr

Mike Benz: Once You Understand That Hunter Biden Was a CIA Intelligence Asset, Everything Makes Sense…

If you take a step back and look at things from a different angle, everything starts to make a lot more sense. Instead of just seeing Hunter Biden as some perverted crackhead who grew up with a silver crack pipe in his mouth, what if we saw him as something more sophisticated, like a well-groomed CIA asset? This twist adds a whole new layer to the long-standing drama around the Biden crime family.

Mike Benz, the director of the Foundation For Freedom Online, has been all over this idea. He’s been suggesting for a while that Hunter might be more than he appears. Back in September, Mike highlighted growing evidence that suggests Burisma was part of a CIA operation during Biden’s VP days, which focused on controlling Ukraine’s energy sector. He even pointed to an article with photos of Ambassador Yovanovitch meeting Burisma officials after being flagged about their corrupt dealings. That article is below.

Just the News:

Photos deleted from the now-defunct Burisma Holdings website show former U.S. Ambassador Marie Yovanovitch met with Vadim Pozharskyi—the Burisma official who worked closely with Hunter Biden—at two separate events after she had been told the Ukrainian energy company was considered corrupt by the State Department.

The photos are likely to raise fresh questions about parts of Yovanovitch’s testimony to Congress during former President Donald Trump’s first impeachment. It also raises the question of why the U.S. embassy in Ukraine engaged with company representatives in a public relations campaign with the U.S. government at the same time that internal embassy communications focused on the company’s corruption.

Photos obtained from the now-deleted Burisma website and the U.S.-Ukraine Business Council (USUBC) show that Yovanovitch attended two meetings hosted by the USUBC in Kyiv with Vadim Pozharskyi, the Burisma executive who met with then-Vice President Joe Biden and appears frequently in Hunter Biden’s emails.

The Burisma website also referenced one other meeting, though no photos were provided. Pozharksyi—the corporate secretary who ran the day to day operations with the board of the company—was at the epicenter of Burisma’s public relations campaign to close down investigations into the company by former Ukraine Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin.

Yovanovitch testified at Trump’s first impeachment because she served as the U.S. ambassador to Ukraine when Trump made the infamous phone call to the newly inaugurated Ukrainian President, Volodymr Zelensky.

In her October 2019 testimony as part of the first Trump impeachment inquiry, Yovanovitch told congressional investigators that Burisma—and Hunter Biden’s role with the company—was not a focus during her time at the embassy.

Honestly, there’s a whole lot about Hunter Biden that flies under the radar, including his involvement in a business that thrives on a steady flow of illegal immigrants. Could this be why his father threw open the floodgates, sparking a massive invasion at the border? It seems like a rhetorical question in light of everything we know about this criminal family.

(Read more from “Mike Benz: Once You Understand That Hunter Biden Was a CIA Intelligence Asset, Everything Makes Sense…” HERE)

New Face of Election Integrity Lays Out November Game Plan

Two weeks after Nikki Haley dropped out of the Republican presidential primary, Donald Trump quickly moved to stack the Republican National Committee (RNC) with his own leadership.

The former president’s daughter-in-law, Lara Trump, and North Carolina GOP Chair Michael Whatley took over as co-chairs, while senior campaign adviser Chris LaCivita was named chief of staff. But the changes didn’t stop there — election integrity staff were asked to reapply for their positions while the unit got a new leader of its grassroots operation: Christina Bobb.

A former One America News anchor and lawyer for Trump, Bobb was named senior counsel to the RNC’s election integrity team following the takeover by the campaign. With less than five months before the 2024 election, Bobb has gotten right to work to fill in what she described as “gaps” in the previous RNC leadership’s election integrity strategy.

“What the grassroots have been complaining about, and people who were crying out to the Trump campaign were saying, ‘Hey, we’re trying to get involved and we’re having a hard time getting involved. What do we need to do?’ So that’s my top priority, making sure people who want to be involved have a way to get involved in what we’re doing, whether it’s directly with the RNC, or more likely with the state parties,” Bobb told the Caller.

Since starting at the RNC, Bobb’s sole focus has been at the grassroots level, while other staffers continue their work on the litigation side. Part of the grassroots push is the party’s “Protect the Vote” initiative, which helps people across the country sign up to be credentialed to help as poll workers, challengers or observers. (Read more from “New Face of Election Integrity Lays Out November Game Plan” HERE)

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FBI Interrogates Co-Workers About Whistleblower’s Views On COVID Vax, Trump, And Second Amendment

The FBI Security Division questioned employees about a fellow agent’s views on COVID vaccines, Donald Trump, and a Second Amendment rally, according to whistleblower disclosures made to the Department of Justice’s Office of Inspector General on Saturday. This revelation raises more concerns that the FBI’s leadership has become hopelessly politicized and seeks to purge itself of agents with certain disfavored views.

Late Monday, The Federalist obtained a copy of the June 8, 2024, letter sent by Empower Oversight on behalf of its client, an unnamed whistleblower and now-retired FBI agent, to Inspector General Michael Horowitz. Enclosed with the letter were three separate interview forms used by the FBI Security Division in questioning co-workers about the whistleblower.

The preprinted document opened by stating that the Clearance Investigations Unit was conducting an administrative investigation regarding allegations that the agent had engaged in conduct that called into question his ability to maintain a top-secret security clearance. The introductory comments then informed the FBI employees that they had a duty to reply to the questions and that failure to reply fully could result in their own security clearances being revoked.

A series of questions followed, with co-workers quizzed on whether the agent under investigation had: “Vocalize[d] support for President Trump?” “Vocalized objection to COVID-19 vaccination?” “Vocalized intent to attend 1/6/2021?” The FBI Security Division also required co-workers to state whether they were aware the target of the investigation had attended the Richmond Lobby Day event, which is an annual Second Amendment rally in Virginia.

The Empower Oversight letter stressed the impropriety of these questions by quoting the Supreme Court’s pronouncement: “If there is any fixed star in our constitutional constellation, it is that no official, high or petty, can prescribe what shall be orthodox in politics, nationalism, religion or other matters of opinion or force citizens to confess by word or act their faith therein.” (Read more from “FBI Interrogates Co-Workers About Whistleblower’s Views On COVID Vax, Trump, And Second Amendment” HERE)

Newly-Deciphered Manuscript Reveals Oldest Known Record of Jesus’ Childhood

A recently deciphered manuscript dating back more than 1,600 years has been identified as the earliest known account of Jesus Christ’s childhood, marking an extraordinary discovery in early Christian literature.

The manuscript, written on papyrus in the 4th or 5th century, had been stored unnoticed for decades in a Hamburg library. Initially thought to be an insignificant document, it has now been decoded by two experts who reveal it as the earliest surviving copy of the Infancy Gospel of Thomas.

“The papyrus fragment is of extraordinary interest for research,” stated Lajos Berkes, a theology lecturer and one of the decipherers, in a press release. Initially mistaken for a mundane document due to its clumsy handwriting, the manuscript was identified as significant upon the recognition of the name Jesus within the text. Through careful comparison with other digitized papyri, Berkes and his colleague were able to decipher the text letter by letter, confirming its importance.

The fragment contains 13 lines in Greek letters, originating from late antique Egypt, a region that was a Christian society at the time. It narrates the “vivification of the sparrows,” a story where a young Jesus turns 12 clay sparrows into living birds. According to the text, a five-year-old Jesus was playing by a stream, molding sparrows from clay. When rebuked by his father Joseph, Jesus clapped his hands, bringing the clay figures to life. This tale is recognized as Jesus’ second miracle in the Infancy Gospel of Thomas.

The Infancy Gospel of Thomas, dating back to the 2nd century, depicts various stories from Christ’s childhood and was popular in Antiquity and the Middle Ages. However, the text was not included in the Bible due to doubts about its accuracy among early Christian writers. Previously, the oldest known Greek version of the Infancy Gospel of Thomas was an 11th-century codex. The newly-deciphered papyrus fragment predates this by 600 years, making it a remarkable find.

Gabriel Nocchi Macedo, the other expert involved in the decoding, emphasized the significance of their findings. “Our findings on this late antique Greek copy of the work confirm the current assessment that the Infancy Gospel according to Thomas was originally written in Greek,” Macedo stated.