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New Polling Shows Shakeup in Presidential Race

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Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump now tops Democratic rival Hillary Clinton nationally, according to a new poll.

The Rasmussen survey released Thursday has the GOP nominee taking 40 percent of the vote to Clinton’s 39 percent, a 5-point swing since last week.

Meanwhile, Libertarian Gary Johnson garners 7 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein takes 3 percent.

The same poll last week showed Clinton ahead 42 to 38 percent, The Hill reported.

The poll’s results mirror several recent ones that have had Trump gaining ground and in some cases overtaking his rival.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday had the two candidates in a virtual tie: 39.7 to 39.1 percent.

That same polling outfit had Clinton up by 12 points in a survey released on Aug. 22.

The change of fortunes can likely be traced to new revelations about the former secretary of state’s email server and the Clinton Foundation, as well as a pivot in the Trump campaign.

Americans learned last week that Clinton never turned over nearly 15,000 work-related emails, despite claiming multiple times during the past year that she had returned them all.

This week the public found out that some of those emails address Benghazi, Libya. All of Clinton’s emails regarding that topic have been subject to congressional subpoena since 2013.

Other emails released last week from Clinton aide Huma Abedin show instances of top donors to the Clinton Foundation obtaining favors or preferential treatment from the State Department.

An ABC News/Washington Post poll published on Thursday found Clinton’s unfavorability rating among registered voters reaching an all-time high of 59 percent.

“Notably, Clinton’s popularity among women has flipped from 54-43 percent favorable-unfavorable last month to 45-52 percent now; it’s the first time in a year that most women have viewed her unfavorably,” according to ABC News.

“[A]mong nonwhites she’s fallen from 73 to 62 percent favorable, largely due to a 16-point drop, to 55 percent, among Hispanics,” the outlet added.

Trump also remains unpopular, with 60 percent of registered voters disapproving. He has slipped 6 percent with men, but gained 7 points with women. That perhaps can be traced to his more measured rhetoric and minority outreach, which he has adopted since naming Kellyanne Conway as his campaign manager in mid-August. (For more from the author of “New Polling Shows Shakeup in Presidential Race” please click HERE)

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Revealed: The GOP Candidate the Establishment Wants out of the Race

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By Jack Davis. In one of the latest strategies from a Republican establishment trying to find the right combination of factors to stop presidential candidate Donald Trump, subtle and public pressure is being applied to convince Ohio Gov. John Kasich to drop out of the race.

The concept is that with fewer candidates, Trump foes will outnumber his loyalists and Trump will not win the nomination

There’s one problem: Kasich isn’t going away.

“I’m going to stay in for a long time,” Kasich said. “I’m going all the way” . . .

Polls in the upcoming Super Tuesday voting show Kasich trailing. However, Kasich’s home state of Ohio votes March 15. If Kasich were to win the winner-take-all contest, he would amass 66 delegates.

“They thought we would have a nominee by some point in March. This is going to be a race that’s going to go much deeper into the calendar,” Kasich strategist John Weaver told reporters Saturday. “The Kasich brand of being uplifting and inclusive, of having a conservative reform agenda that can be enacted and can be positive is a growing force in national politics. (Read more from “Revealed: The GOP Candidate the Establishment Wants out of the Race” HERE)

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Kasich: ‘Nobody’s Gonna Win but Trump’ Next Week

By The Daily Beast. Shortly after Thursday night’s debate, Gov. John Kasich said that “Nobody’s gonna win but Trump” in the Republican presidential candidates’ battle on Super Tuesday. He qualified that estimate when asked about Ted Cruz’s chances in his home state of Texas—one of the 12 states voting in primaries next week.

(Read more from “Kasich: ‘Nobody’s Gonna Win but Trump’ Next Week” HERE)

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Donors Ask GOP Consulting Firm to Research Independent Presidential Bid

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Conservative donors have engaged a major GOP consulting firm in Florida to research the feasibility of mounting a late, independent run for president amid growing fears that Donald Trump could win the Republican nomination.

A memo prepared for the group zeroes in on ballot access as a looming obstacle for any independent candidate, along with actually identifying a viable, widely known contender and coalescing financial support for that person. The two states with the earliest deadlines for independent candidates, Texas and North Carolina, also have some of the highest hurdles for independents to get on the ballot, according to the research.

“All this research has to happen before March 16, when inevitably Trump is the nominee, so that we have a plan in place,” a source familiar with the discussions said. March 16 is the day after the GOP primary in Florida, a winner-take-all contest that Marco Rubio supporters have identified as a must-win to stop Trump’s early momentum.

“It’s critical some serious attention is given to this,” the source said.

The document, stamped “confidential,” was authored by staff at Data Targeting, a Republican firm based in Gainesville, Fla. The memo notes that “it is possible to mount an independent candidacy but [it] will require immediate action on the part of this core of key funding and strategic players.” (Read more from “Donors Ask GOP Consulting Firm to Research Independent Presidential Bid” HERE)

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Recent National Poll Reveals Major Turn Around in GOP Race

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By Mark Murray. Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has fallen behind Ted Cruz in the national GOP horserace, according to a brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

In the poll, Cruz is the first choice of 28 percent of Republican primary voters, while Trump gets 26 percent. They’re followed by Marco Rubio at 17 percent, John Kasich at 11 percent, Ben Carson at 10 percent and Jeb Bush at 4 percent.

The results from the poll — conducted after Trump’s victory in New Hampshire and Saturday’s GOP debate in South Carolina — are a significant reversal from last month, when Trump held a 13-point lead over Cruz, 33 percent to 20 percent.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted this survey with Democratic pollster Peter Hart and his firm Hart Research Associates, says Trump’s drop could signal being “right on top of a shift in the campaign.” (Read more from “Recent National Poll Reveals Major Turn Around in GOP Race” HERE)

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New Polls Disagree on Who’s Leading GOP Presidential Race

By CBS New York. Two new polls on Wednesday night painted very different pictures of the Republican side of the presidential race.

The Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) is now beating New York real estate mogul Donald Trump 28 to 26 percent nationally. It marks the first time Trump has been knocked from first place in any national poll.

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Florida) came in third in the poll with 17 percent, Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 11 percent, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 10 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 4 percent.

But a Quinnipiac Poll showed Trump with a 20 point lead and Cruz in third place behind Rubio.

In that poll, Trump had 39 percent, Rubio 19 percent, Cruz 18 percent, Kasich 6 percent, and Bush and Carson each 4 percent. (Read more from “New Polls Disagree on Who’s Leading GOP Presidential Race” HERE)

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