It’s Looking As Though One Super Tuesday State Is Setting Itself Up For Voter Fraud

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By Townhall. While all eyes were on the Nevada Caucuses, people in Super Tuesday states started receiving their absentee ballots. In places like California, voters are encouraged to vote absentee. It’s been a way to garner greater political involvement and participation.

Adam Housley, a former correspondent for Fox News, said he received two ballots: one for non-party preference (NPP) and one for the libertarian ticket. What makes the scenario even more troubling? Housley said he has never registered as a libertarian.

In a state with millions of people, a small flub here and there is likely to happen, but it turns out Housley wasn’t the only one who received multiple ballots..

(Read more from “It’s Looking As Though One Super Tuesday State Is Setting Itself Up For Voter Fraud” HERE)

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Unthinkability Bias Comes for the Democrats

By Real Clear Politics. Voting in the Democratic Primary contest is getting ready to heat up, but the contest itself will be more-or-less over shortly after it begins. By the end of March, fully two-thirds of the delegates to the national convention will be awarded. Barring a major collapse in his poll numbers between now and then, Bernie Sanders is likely to win the lion’s share – perhaps even a majority – of these delegates. The results from Saturday’s Nevada caucuses certainly did nothing to suggest otherwise. At that point, denying him the nomination becomes an extremely tricky proposition.

If you are among those who believe Sanders is the strongest candidate Democrats could run against Donald Trump, then this is all for the good. If you think the outsider is a general election problem for the party, you may be wondering how it came to this, especially in an election where there seemed to be so many promising candidates. Particularly perplexing is the decision of the Democratic candidates to hammer Michael Bloomberg – who won’t be on the ballot for two more contests – at the most recent debate. . . Finally, beyond the enhanced fundraising and core of strong supporters, candidates like Trump and Sanders have benefitted from what I dubbed “unthinkability bias” in 2016. This is like a strong version of confirmation bias, where people set their prior probabilities of an event occurring to zero and refuse to update their priors because they just can’t conceive of the possibility coming to pass. In the summer of 2016, I wrote a series of pieces suggesting that Trump could win the general election; these were met such derision and invective that I took a month-long break from Twitter. In late 2019, I wrote a piece suggesting that people were underestimating Sanders’ chances of becoming the Democratic nominee. While the response was less angry, it was still met with a degree of skepticism that seems unwarranted today.

This is harmless in and of itself, but it has the potential to transform the trajectory of races. By writing off Trump and Sanders in the summer and fall before the election year, candidates allowed their candidacies to strengthen and their core bases of support to grow. In addition, by attacking each other, the more “traditional” candidates collectively weakened themselves, diminishing themselves compared to the insurgent. (Read more from “Unthinkability Bias Comes for the Democrats” HERE)

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