Majority of Americans Think Trump Will Win Election

The good news for President Trump: His job approval has hit its highest point since May, Gallup reported on Thursday. . .

“Regardless of whom they personally support, 56% of Americans expect Trump to prevail over Biden in the November election, while 40% think Biden will win,” wrote Megan Brenan in an article released by the polling firm. “Although majorities of partisans think their party’s candidate will win, Republicans are more likely to believe Trump will win (90%) than Democrats are to think Biden will (73%). Fifty-six percent of independents predict that Trump will win.”

The pollster doesn’t offer an explanation as to how Trump can be underwater on his approval rating but still be the majority pick to win the election. But Gallup said the finding might not be great news for Trump.

“Looking back, Gallup has asked Americans for their predictions in the late summer or fall of every presidential election year from 1996 through 2012, and an ABC NewsIWashington Post poll included a comparable question in 2016,” according to the article.

“In each of these polls, Americans accurately predicted the winner of the popular vote, though not the winner of the Electoral College,” Brenan wrote. “That is, in 2000 and 2016, the public predicted Al Gore and Hillary Clinton, respectively, would win the election. Although both of these Democratic candidates won the popular vote, George W. Bush and Trump, respectively, won the most electoral votes and ultimately became president.” (Read more from “Majority of Americans Think Trump Will Win Election” HERE)

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Another Migrant Caravan Departs for the United States

The United States is such a white supremacist, oppressive, and evil country that a whole new caravan of migrants is leaving Honduras bound for the United States, where mail-in ballots await.

CBS News reports that a migrant caravan was expected to leave October 1 but that hundreds of migrants are leaving early just two weeks after Honduras opened its northern border with Guatemala.

The migrants will travel en masse across the continent amid the global pandemic in hopes of spreading out across the interior of the United States. Pictures of the migrants showed many were not wearing face masks or practicing social distancing. . .

Mexico’s immigration agency said in a statement that it would enforce “safe, orderly and legal” migration and not do anything to promote the formation of a migrant caravan. The U.S. Embassy in Honduras said via Twitter Wednesday that migration to the U.S. was more difficult than ever right now and more dangerous because of COVID-19.

(Read more from “Another Migrant Caravan Departs for the United States” HERE)

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U.S. Unemployment Rate Down to Under 8 Percent

The US economy saw another 661,000 jobs added back in September and a modest improvement in the unemployment rate, as the recovery in the labor market continues as a stagnating rate.

The Labor Department released its September jobs report Friday morning. Here were the main metrics from the release, compared to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg.

The addition in non-farm payrolls marked the fifth straight month of net job gains. Still, the economy remains far from recuperating the jobs lost during the nadir of the pandemic period in March and April. Between those two months, employment fell by more than 22 million. Through August, just 10.6 million jobs were brought back.

Even as the US economy brings back some workers, an increasing number of Americans have found their layoffs to be permanent. Fewer than half of unemployed workers reported being on temporary layoff or furlough in August, representing a major slide from the near-80% in the category in April. The number of permanent job losers in August rose by 534,000 to 3.4 million, with this measure having increased by 2.1 million since February. (Read more from “U.S. Unemployment Rate Down to Under 8 Percent” HERE)

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Pelosi Raises Possibility of Becoming Acting President

Speaker Nancy Pelosi raised the possibility that she might become acting president if neither President Trump nor Democratic nominee Joe Biden wins enough electoral votes to declare victory in the election on or after Nov. 3.

Pelosi, a California Democrat, told reporters Thursday that she is preparing House Democrats for a potential role in determining the winner with a vote by each state delegation.

But if a majority still does not emerge for either Trump or Biden, Pelosi said, “then it goes into another range where the speaker becomes the [president]. It’s complicated after that.”

It is rare for the House to play a role in determining the outcome of a presidential election, and it hasn’t happened in 150 years. But Pelosi is girding party lawmakers to play a role if the election is so close that neither Trump nor Biden is the electoral winner. (Read more from “Pelosi Raises Possibility of Becoming Acting President” HERE)

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Report: Protests Erupt in Iran Backing Azerbaijan in Armenia Conflict (VIDEO)

Protests erupted across several Iranian cities on Thursday in support of Azerbaijan in its conflict with Armenia over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh.

The demonstrations took place in cities including Tehran, the capital, and Tabriz, a city in Iran’s northwest near the Armenia-Azerbaijan border.

Videos posted online on October 1 appear to show dozens of people demonstrating in city streets while chanting slogans in Azeri, a Turkic language. Some of the chants included, “Karabakh is ours. It will remain ours,” Radio Free Europe (RFE) reported on Friday, adding that it could not verify the authenticity of the protest footage. . .

Azeris constitute Iran’s largest ethnic minority, with an estimated population of up to 20 million. Like Iran, Azerbaijan is nearly 99 percent Muslim, and both countries have a majority Shia population. Azeris are ethnically Turkic and have been incorporated into Iran’s population since at least the 19th century when a treaty divided Azerbaijan into a northern Russian portion and a southern Iranian portion.

According to RFE on Friday, over “100 people, including many civilians, have been killed since heavy clashes erupted on September 27” between Azerbaijan and Armenia in their disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh. While the region legally belongs to Azerbaijan, its population is made up of majority Christian Armenians. (Read more from “Report: Protests Erupt in Iran Backing Azerbaijan in Armenia Conflict (VIDEO)” HERE)

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Senate Dems Seek Delay in Amy Coney Barrett Hearings After Trump’s COVID Diagnosis

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and Senate Judiciary Committee Ranking Member Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) issued a joint statement Friday calling on Judiciary Chairman Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) to hold off on moving forward with hearings on U.S. Supreme Court justice nominee Amy Coney Barrett, citing risks of spreading COVID-19 in light of President Donald Trump and Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) testing positive for the virus.

Schumer and Feinstein — who have both been adamantly opposed to President Trump nominating a replacement for recently-deceased Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg ahead of the Nov. 3 election — wrote that it is “premature” for Graham “to commit to a hearing schedule when we do not know the full extent of potential exposure stemming from the president’s infection and before the White House puts in place a contact tracing plan to prevent further spread of the disease.”

The Democrats also stated that the “infection” of Lee, who also sits on the Judiciary Committee, “makes even more clear that health and safety must guide the schedule for all Senate activities, including hearings.” . . .

According to Schumer and Feinstein, virtual hearings on Barrett’s nomination would not be “an acceptable substitute” given the magnitude of deciding “a lifetime appointment to the federal bench.”

They argued that moving forward would turn “this already illegitimate process” into “a dangerous one.” (Read more from “Senate Dems Seek Delay in Amy Coney Barrett Hearings After Trump’s COVID Diagnosis” HERE)

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President Trump Tests Positive for COVID-19, Admitted to Walter Reed Medical Center as Precautionary Measure (VIDEO)

President Trump thanked Americans for their “tremendous support” and said he is “doing very well” in a pre-recorded video he tweeted out Friday as he was being flown by Marine One to Walter Reed Military Medical Center where he will be treated for mild symptoms after testing positive for the COVID-19.

The president’s message was upbeat, though his tone was more subdued than usual in the video, which is believed to have been shot just before he was transferred to Walter Reed “out of an abundance of caution,” according to the White House. . .

White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany first announced Friday that the president, who she said “remains in good spirits,” has “mild symptoms” and had been “working throughout the day.”

“Out of an abundance of caution, and at the recommendation of his physician and medical experts, the President will be working from the presidential offices at Walter Reed for the next few days,” she said. “President Trump appreciates the outpouring of support for both he and the First Lady.” (Read more from “President Trump Tests Positive for COVID-19, Admitted to Walter Reed Medical Center as Precautionary Measure” HERE)

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It Looks Like the Next Presidential Debate Moderator Hates Trump Even More Than the First; Trump Campaign Calls Out Second Debate Moderator

By Townhall. For those hoping the moderator at the second presidential debate will be less of a liberal hack than the first, we have some bad news for you. C-SPAN’s Steve Scully has been tapped to moderate the upcoming presidential debate and it’s very clear which candidate Scully wants to win.

Scully is clearly rooting for Joe Biden, a.k.a. his old boss, who Scully once interned for in the U.S. Senate. . .

Scully also retweeted this column by The New York Times’ David Brooks, in which the author argues that Donald Trump is basically the worst person in the entire world and should never be elected president of the United States.

(Read more from “It Looks Like the Next Presidential Debate Moderator Hates Trump Even More Than the First” HERE)

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Trump Campaign Calls Out Second Debate Moderator Who Interned for Biden, Worked for Ted Kennedy

By Fox News. resident Trump’s campaign is calling out C-SPAN anchor Steve Scully, who’s moderating the second presidential debate, for his ties to former Vice President Joe Biden.

Steve Scully, who serves as a host for C-SPAN’s “Washington Journal,” interned for Biden after coming to Washington, D.C. as a student, according to Marie Claire. He later worked as a staff assistant for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy, D-Mass., a Democratic icon who was honored at the party’s 2012 convention.

Trump campaign adviser Jason Miller tweeted in response: “Don’t forget to change before the debate, fellas!” . . .

At the beginning of September, Scully did an interview in which he committed to being fair “across the board.” He said his training as a backup moderator in 2016 helped him prepare for his role this election. Scully’s debate will be a townhall format at the Center for the Performing Arts in Miami, Florida.

“The town hall meeting is unique because it’s really more of a facilitator role, but to listen carefully, to follow up, to make sure that the president, that Joe Biden … follow the rules, that they don’t filibuster,” he said. “And my hope really is that we’re going to ask very direct questions, and we’re going to push for very direct answers, and to make sure it’s fair across the board.” (Read more from “Trump Campaign Calls Out Second Debate Moderator Who Interned for Biden, Worked for Ted Kennedy” HERE)

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4 Questions James Comey Actually Answered in Senate Hearing

Former FBI Director James Comey took questions from a Senate committee for almost four hours Wednesday, but had the same answers for many of them.

Comey, who President Donald Trump fired in May 2017, fielded questions remotely by video link primarily about the FBI’s Russia-Trump investigation, code-named “Crossfire Hurricane,” before the Justice Department named a special counsel to take up the matter.

Throughout the Senate Judiciary Committee hearing, in which he gave sworn testimony, Comey repeatedly offered the responses “I don’t know,” “I know nothing about … ,” “I don’t recall,” “I don’t remember,” “I only know what is in the public record,” “I can’t answer that,” and “That doesn’t ring a bell.”

Comey also said, “I don’t know anything about the facts that have recently been revealed about the subsource.”

In another often-repeated variation, Comey frequently responded to senators by questioning their questions, saying, “I don’t agree with your characterization,” “I don’t agree with your preamble,” or “I don’t agree with your predicate.”

Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz found numerous flaws in the FBI investigation in a report last year—primarily with regard to the agency’s surveillance of Trump campaign associate Carter Page.

In some instances, Comey did answer senators’ questions. Here are four examples.

1. ‘Proud’ of Russia Investigation

Senate Judiciary Chairman Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., asked the former FBI director: “How would you rate the Crossfire Hurricane investigation in terms of being done thoroughly, by the book, and an investigation the FBI should be proud of?”

Comey responded, “Overall, I’m proud of the work. There are parts that are concerning, which I’m sure we’ll talk about. But overall, I’m proud of the work.”

Later in the hearing, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, asked broadly about the Russia probe as well as the investigation of former Trump national security adviser Michael Flynn and misinformation in the application for a warrant to surveil Page, the Trump campaign adviser.

“Was that handled in a competent and honest way?” Cruz asked.

Comey, who signed off on the warrant application and subsequent renewals, continued with his “overall” defense.

“I think the overall investigation of the Russia interference and whether Americans were associated with it was conducted in an honest, competent, independent way,” Comey said.

Cruz noted that Horowitz’s report found 17 significant omissions in the FBI’s application for the initial warrant to spy on Page under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, or FISA.

“So, in your view, 17 mistakes and lying to the court is competent and honest?” Cruz asked.

Comey responded of the inspector general: “I don’t believe he concluded they were lies to the court. There were significant failings with how the Carter Page FISA [application] was prepared and renewed.”

Cruz brought up Kevin Clinesmith, the FBI lawyer who pleaded guilty in August to altering information in a CIA email, leaving out information that Page had worked with the CIA.

“That fraudulent document was then used as the basis for a fraudulent submission to the FISA court. Do you believe that is honest and competent?” Cruz asked.

Comey replied, “I don’t believe you offered an accurate summary.”

Cruz wrapped up by calling the FBI’s probe corrupt and hinting that Comey was corrupt:

This investigation of the president was corrupt. The FBI and the Department of Justice were politicized and weaponized. In my opinion, there are only two possibilities: that you were either deliberately corrupt or woefully incompetent. And I don’t believe you were incompetent. This has done severe damage to the professionals and the honorable men and women at the FBI, because law enforcement should not be used as a political weapon. That is the legacy you have left.

Later, Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, referred to a notorious compilation of anti-Trump material compiled by Christopher Steele, a former Bristish intelligence agent, and financed by the Democratic National Committee and the Hillary Clinton campaign.

Cornyn asked Comey: “Did you call the Steele dossier salacious and unverified?”

Comey: “The entire dossier was something we were trying to see if we could rule in or rule out.”

Cornyn: “Are you aware of any verification by the FBI?”

Comey seemed unsure before eventually responding: “I learned a lot about the Steele material and the subsource interviews from the Horowitz report that I didn’t know before.”

2. Russia and Hillary Clinton’s Campaign

Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe sent a letter to the Judiciary Committee regarding declassified information on how Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign pushed the Russia investigation to distract from her own campaign problems.

“In late July 2016, U.S. intelligence agencies obtained insight into Russian intelligence analysis alleging that U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton had approved a campaign plan to stir up a scandal against U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump by tying him to Putin and the Russians’ hacking of the Democratic National Committee,” Ratcliffe’s letter says. “The IC [intelligence community] does not know the accuracy of this allegation or the extent to which the Russian intelligence analysis may reflect exaggeration or fabrication.”

The letter from the director of national intelligence goes on to say:

On 07 September 2016, U.S. intelligence officials forwarded an investigative referral to FBI Director James Comey and Deputy Assistant Director of Counterintelligence Peter Strzok regarding ‘U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s approval of a plan concerning U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump and Russian hackers hampering U.S. elections as a means of distracting the public from her use of a private mail server.’

Graham asked Comey: “Do you recall getting an inquiry from the intelligence community in September of 2016 about a concern that the Clinton campaign was going to create a scandal regarding Trump and Russia?”

Comey, as he did for much of the hearing, responded, “I do not,” and added: “That doesn’t ring a bell.”

Later, Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., asked about the appropriateness of the director of national intelligence’s releasing the letter.

“I don’t understand Mr. Ratcliffe’s letter well enough to comment,” Comey responded to Leahy. “It’s confusing. I think it contains in it a statement that is unverified information. I really don’t know what he’s doing.”

3. If Comey Knew Then What He Knows Now

For someone not known for introspection, Comey made a significant statement about how the FISA warrant application should have been done differently.

Graham asked, “Knowing then what you know now about all the things that we have come to find, would you have still signed the warrant application against Carter Page in October, January, and April?”

Comey was clear that he wouldn’t have signed off.

“No. I would want a much more complete understanding,” he said, adding: “The answer is no. Not without a much fuller discussion of how they were thinking about their disclosure obligations to the court.”

The problems with the FISA application that contained 17 errors and omissions was a key topic.

Clinesmith’s guilty plea, for deleting from an email the fact that Page worked with the CIA, came up several times.

“Do you now agree that the CIA confirmed that Mr. Page was in fact helping them?” Graham asked Comey.

“I know from the Horowitz report because the CIA confirmed he was what they call a contact,” Comey said, adding, “I did not know the nature of his relationship with the CIA. I’m telling you what I read in the Horowitz report.”

Graham: “Why is Mr. Clinesmith facing criminal indictment?”

Comey: “I only know what is in the public record. … I know nothing about Mr. Clinesmith.”

When Graham pressed him on Clinesmith’s conduct, Comey said, “Any false statement in the course of an investigation is deeply disturbing.”

Later, Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, seemed stunned by how little Comey knew about the probe’s problems.

“With all due respect, you don’t seem to know anything about an investigation that you ran,” Lee said.

Lee also noted that he met with Comey after President Barack Obama nominated him to be FBI director, and the two discussed the responsible administration of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.

Comey said there were problems with the FISA application to surveil Page, and with other applications.

“I agree with you, there are serious reasons to worry about the FISA process. The inspector general found errors in every FISA application. That’s a really important thing to dig into,” Comey said.

Lee said the FISA process itself must be deeply reformed—specifically an ex parte process, or when only one side is presented to a court.

“You don’t install a wasp nest in your child’s bedroom and then express surprise when your child gets bitten by wasps,” Lee said, adding:

You don’t adopt an ex parte process and then express surprise and outrage when it goes completely unsupervised and off the rails. This is an issue that is neither Republican nor Democrat, neither liberal nor conservative. It is a constitutional issue. This is a moral issue.

4. What Comey Says Obama and Biden Didn’t Do

Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., the ranking member of the committee, addressed questions that emerged about whether President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden, in the waning days of the Obama administration, pushed the FBI investigation of Flynn after his “unmasking” in intelligence intercepts at the request of one or more administration officials.

Feinstein asked: “Did President Obama or Vice President Biden ever ask you to investigate a political rival or to go easy on a political rival?”

Comey replied: “Never.”

Feinstein: “Why would that have been problematic?”

Comey said that such an order would politicize the FBI, adding:

Because it would compromise the independence of the Justice Department and the FBI’s work if it’s a criminal case or a counterintelligence case. It would introduce politics into what should be a fact-driven process.

(For more from the author of “4 Questions James Comey Actually Answered in Senate Hearing” please click HERE)

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The Left Explodes When Republicans Nominate Women, Blacks, or Latinos

Judge Amy Coney Barrett’s first Capitol Hill meetings were friendly encounters with Republican senators, but running the Supreme Court nomination gauntlet is bound to get tougher: Conservative women and minorities have aroused some of the most furious Democratic opposition.

“We want to pray for her family, as we know these will be interesting, tough weeks,” said Mercedes Schlapp, a senior adviser to President Trump’s reelection campaign, in a Catholics for Trump conference call. “I’ve gotta tell you, I’m really, really, really concerned,” added Trump deputy campaign manager Justin Clark.

Barrett’s gender and religion have already figured in some negative coverage of her nomination. An Associated Press report described the 48-year-old as having “close ties to a charismatic Christian religious group that holds men are divinely ordained as the ‘head’ of the family and faith,” quoting ex-members as saying it promotes the subjugation of women. Resistance Twitter has been more pointed in its characterization of Barrett’s beliefs. . .

It would not be the first time a Republican attempt to maintain the diversity of the Supreme Court while nominating a conservative to a seat held by a liberal has generated a strong reaction from the Left. Justice Clarence Thomas was bitterly opposed by civil rights groups when President George H.W. Bush chose him to succeed Thurgood Marshall. Thomas described his confirmation hearings as a “high-tech lynching.” The Senate Judiciary Committee, then chaired by Joe Biden, deadlocked on Thomas’s nomination, and he was confirmed by a narrow 52-48 vote despite Anita Hill’s allegations of sexual harassment, which he categorically denied.

“This time the president will nominate a right-wing extremist who happens to have a Hispanic surname rather than a black face,” Yale law professor Bruce Ackerman wrote in a liberal magazine when George W. Bush was elected president. “And if the Democrats have the courage to block this gambit, he will follow up with another ‘stealth candidate’ and count on the Senate to confirm her, as it did [Anthony] Kennedy.” (Read more from “The Left Explodes When Republicans Nominate Women, Blacks, or Latinos” HERE)

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