Poll Finds Overturning Roe Won’t Have Big Impact on Midterms

A new poll has found that if the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade, it “will likely have only a modest impact, if any” on the midterm elections, even though the leak of Justice Samuel Alito’s abortion opinion sent shock waves through Washington.

While Democratic strategists have argued that abortion policy will play a central role in the election and top lawmakers in the party have been vocal in their calls for voters to rally against Republicans in November over the issue, the survey, prepared for the America First Policy Institute by RMG Research Group and obtained by the Washington Examiner on Monday, discovered that “issues such as inflation, immigration, crime, the war in Ukraine” are expected to have more of an impact in driving people to the ballot box.

The survey found that there is some uncertainty with voters over what overturning Roe would do, with 41% stating they thought it would completely outlaw abortion, 36% saying they weren’t sure what it would mean, and 22% having “some understanding” of what overturning the decision would mean.

“If the Supreme Court overturns Roe, the conventional wisdom assumes that the issue will help Democrats in the midterms; the only question is by how much. A deeper look at the data, however, suggests the conventional wisdom is wrong,” the polling memo states.

“The conventional wisdom is based on years of polling, showing that a solid majority of voters oppose overturning that 1973 ruling. My own polling shows the same results. However, any poll asking whether voters want to overturn Roe is meaningless. Seventy-seven percent of voters don’t know what overturning that decision would mean. If people don’t understand what overturning Roe would mean, how can you possibly interpret polling data showing that people don’t want it overturned?” it continues. (Read more from “Poll Finds Overturning Roe Won’t Have Big Impact on Midterms” HERE)

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