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There’s Just Been a MAJOR Shake up in the Presidential Race This Candidate Did NOT See Coming

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23229981234_87218ccf77_bFor his second month in a row, Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders has continued to close the gap between himself and current Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton.

According to a Fox News poll released on Thursday, Clinton only leads Sanders by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent among registered voters nationally. By comparison, the same poll conducted last month placed Clinton in a 13 point lead over Sanders, 55 to 42 percent.

Among women, one of Clinton’s strongest voting blocs, support for Hillary dropped an incredible 11 points, bringing her lead down to 56 points over Sanders’ 38. Sanders’ support increased with 9 points gained among female voters.

The new poll by Fox News is consistent with other national polls, which show the race between Sanders and Clinton rapidly tightening. Some polls even predict Sanders is leading Clinton by 1 to 2 points . . .

With that being said, Clinton still holds a significant lead over Sanders, thanks to Democratic superdelegates, making a Sanders comeback a long shot. However, if this trend continues and Sanders can force a contested convention, it is certainly possible he could shift the superdelegates in his favor and clinch the Democratic nomination. (Read more from “There’s Just Been a MAJOR Shake up in the Presidential Race This Candidate Did NOT See Coming” HERE)

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Cruz Eyes Double-Agent Delegates in Bid to Snatch GOP Nomination From Trump

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20832825818_9dec96cab5_b (1)By S.A. Miller. Sen. Ted Cruz’s hopes for winning the Republican presidential nomination outright have faded, and he has shifted to a strategy of gaming the rules, angling to send enough double-agent delegates to the July convention to snatch victory from front-runner Donald Trump.

It’s a major reversal for Mr. Cruz, who just weeks ago insisted he would win the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the nomination before the convention. But major wins in Utah, Wisconsin and Colorado have not closed the gap, with a series of East Coast primaries looming.

Now the best option for the senator from Texas is trench warfare at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.

“I think it’s very simple. The odds are now very high that we go to a contested convention,” he said in a radio interview Tuesday with conservative media honcho Glenn Beck, who has endorsed Mr. Cruz.

“When we get to a contested convention, here’s what’s going to happen: I’m going to have a ton of delegates, Donald’s going to have a ton of delegates, and it’s going be a battle to see who’s going to win a majority,” said Mr. Cruz. “In Cleveland, I believe, we will have an enormous advantage.” (Read more from “Cruz Eyes Double-Agent Delegates in Bid to Snatch GOP Nomination From Trump” HERE)

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RNC Member Predicts: Trump Can Win With 1,100 Delegates

By Pete Kasperowicz. Republican National Committee member Randy Evans predicted Wednesday that Donald Trump would likely be able to secure the Republican nomination if he captures anything more than 1,100 delegates, short of the 1,237 delegates needed for a simple majority.

“If Donald Trump exceeds 1,100 votes, he will become the nominee even though he may not have 1,237,” Evans said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe.”

The RNC stressed Wednesday morning that under the rules, 1,237 delegates are still needed to officially clinch the nomination, and said Evans’ comments are more of a comment on what might happen in the hypothetical situation in which Trump falls just short.

Evans’ comment could be good news for Trump if it’s a sentiment shared by other RNC members, since Trump is at risk of falling short of a majority of delegates by the time of the convention in July. But Evans also warned that if Trump slips much more, the nomination would likely fall to someone else.

“If he gets less than 1,000 delegates, then I think we’re looking at a contested convention that could go on for many, many days,” Evans said. (Read more from “RNC Member Predicts: Trump Can Win With 1,100 Delegates” HERE)

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Watch: Paul Ryan Just Made Massive Announcement, Reveals Who Should Be Nominee

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25457684202_954e1c78df_bHouse Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., sought to end speculation Tuesday that he will emerge as the eventual Republican presidential nominee.

“Let me be clear: I do not want, nor will I accept, the nomination for our party,” Ryan said, speaking at the Republican National Committee’s headquarters in Washington.

In a direct statement to the delegates who will attend this summer’s Republican National Convention in Cleveland, Ryan said, “I believe you should only choose from a person who has actually participated in the primary. Count me out.”

“I simply believe that if you want to be the nominee — to be the president — you should actually run for it. I chose not to. Therefore, I should not be considered. Period,” he said.

For the past two weeks, pundits and politicians have been spinning scenarios in which Ryan, dubbed a “mirage candidate” by the New York Times, could emerge as a consensus candidate at the convention if the Republicans opposed to front-runner Donald Trump are able to block his efforts to win the convention on the first ballot. Scenarios of an “open” or “brokered” convention call for nominating someone other than either Trump or Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, given the antipathy between the camps of the two leading candidates makes it unlikely one will support the other.

Ryan said he will continue to make public statements, but said they are focused on developing a policy agenda for the party’s eventual nominee in areas such as health care, taxes, poverty and job creation. (Read more from “Paul Ryan Just Made Massive Announcement, Reveals Who Should Be Nominee” HERE)

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If Trump Gets Screwed by the GOP, the Third Party Will Be Bigger Than the GOP Fairly Soon

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24854169213_f2afeace89_bDilbert creator Scott Adams, the author and persuasion expert who correctly predicted the rise of Donald Trump, says the Republican party has a choice: strengthen itself with a Trump candidacy or face certain destruction with a contested convention.

In an “Ask Me Anything” (AMA) question-and-answer session, Adams told “The Donald,” Reddit’s community for Trump supporters, that the GOP can only hurt itself if it “screws” with the billionaire frontrunner’s chances of securing the presidential nomination at July’s convention.

“If Trump is nominated, the GOP will grow stronger and become a bigger tent,” Adams wrote. “If Trump is denied after getting the most votes in the first round, the GOP will be done, one way or another.”

In his final post before logging off for the day, he reiterated this point. Asked whether a viable third party could rise, Adams responded, “If Trump gets screwed by the GOP, the third party will be bigger than the GOP fairly soon.”

He suggests the latest news cycle has helped Trump prepare this narrative, especially after the optics of Sen. Ted Cruz winning all of Colorado’s delegates while the public could not vote in a primary or caucus. (Read more from “If Trump Gets Screwed by the GOP, the Third Party Will Be Bigger Than the GOP Fairly Soon” HERE)

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The Secret Movement to Draft General James Mattis for President

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An anonymous group of conservative billionaires is ready to place their bets on a man dubbed “Mad Dog,” hoping to draft him into the presidential race to confront Donald Trump.

Think of it as a Plan B should Trump be nominated by the Republican Party in Cleveland: swing behind retired U.S. Marine Corps Gen. James Mattis and press him into service yet again as a third-party candidate.

Mattis is the former commander of Central Command, which includes the strife-afflicted conflict zones of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia, and has developed a reputation among troops as a general officer who cares about the little guy. This reputation blossomed into the political realm during the 2012 presidential contest, when a Marine Corps veteran started an online campaign to write-in Mattis on presidential ballots—it ultimately lacked the backing to take off.

But this situation involves far bigger players: Close to a dozen influential donors—involving politically-involved billionaires with deep pockets and conservative leanings—are ready to put their resources behind Mattis. At their request, a small group of political operatives have taken the first steps in the strategic legwork needed for a bid: a package of six strategic memos outlining how Mattis could win the race, in hopes of coaxing him in. (Read more from “The Secret Movement to Draft General James Mattis for President” HERE)

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There’s Still Time for a Serious Third-Party Presidential Run

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By Russell Berman. How late is too late for an independent or third-party presidential run?

That question is becoming paramount as the Republican Party barrels through its primary season bitterly divided and with the chances growing that it will open its July convention without a nominee in hand. Conservatives resolutely opposed to a Donald Trump presidency have been investigating a third-party bid for weeks, hoping that if they can’t rally the party behind Ted Cruz then at least they’ll be to give the Never Trump movement an alternative not named Clinton in November. And the recent, if hardly surprising, demise of the paper-thin “loyalty pledge” that Republican candidates signed last year means that either Trump or Cruz could conceivably mount an independent campaign if they lose the GOP nomination in Cleveland.

The short answer is that no, it’s not too late for a third-party or independent run, and it might even be possible for someone as wealthy and well-known as Trump to launch a serious campaign as late as July. (Note: Serious does not necessarily mean winning) . . .

The most organized Never Trump group includes Erick Erickson, the Georgia-based conservative activist and radio host, and William Kristol, the editor of the Weekly Standard. They met in Washington last month with about a dozen other supporters, and Erickson said another meeting is planned for next week. They settled on a two-track strategy of trying to deny Trump the GOP nomination while simultaneously laying the groundwork for a third-party bid if they can’t. With Trump stumbling recently and Cruz defeating him in Wisconsin, the group is, for the moment, focused more on stopping him in Cleveland. For Erickson, that means trying to rally the party around Cruz, a candidate who many members of the anti-Trump GOP establishment despise nearly as much as Trump. Yet as Erickson acknowledged in a Monday phone interview, “there is a real risk if we wait too long.” (Read more from “There’s Still Time for a Serious Third-Party Presidential Run” HERE)

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24% of GOP Voters Are Very Likely to Vote for Trump If He Runs as a Third-Party Candidate

By Rasmussen Reports. It could be bad news for the Republican establishment as it wages an unprecedented effort to stop Donald Trump from winning the party’s presidential nomination: GOP voters feel even more strongly that they will support Trump if he runs as an independent.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 36% of Likely Republican Voters say they are likely to vote for Trump if he runs as a third-party presidential candidate. That’s unchanged from last July when we first asked the question, but it now includes 24% who say they are Very Likely to vote for Trump if he runs independently, up six points from 18% in the previous survey. (Read more from “24% of GOP Voters Are Very Likely to Vote for Trump If He Runs as a Third-Party Candidate” HERE)

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GOP’s Ryan Loses to Clinton, Sanders

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Some top Republicans see House Speaker Paul Ryan as the party’s savior if they can just make him the GOP presidential nominee. But Ryan loses to both major Democratic candidates in head-to-head matchups, with roughly a quarter of Republicans looking somewhere else.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that Hillary Clinton tops Ryan 40% to 34% among Likely U.S. Voters, but a sizable 22% prefer some other candidate given that matchup.

Similarly, Senator Bernie Sanders posts a 41% to 34% win over Ryan, but 20% like another candidate. Five percent (5%) are undecided in both cases.

A closer look at the numbers, however, suggests the danger to Republicans of a brokered convention that denies Donald Trump or Ted Cruz the nomination. Ryan earns GOP support only in the high 50s against both Democrats. If Ryan is the GOP’s choice to run against Clinton, 28% of Republicans opt for someone else. If Sanders is Ryan’s opponent, 24% of GOP voters like another candidate . . .

Ryan is viewed favorably by 59% of Republican voters. That’s little changed from last October and includes only 27% with a Very Favorable opinion of him. But 30% now share an unfavorable view of the House leader, including 14% with a Very Unfavorable one. Unfavorables are up noticeably from 16% and three percent (3%) last fall. Eleven percent (11%) remain undecided. (Read more from “GOP’s Ryan Loses to Clinton, Sanders” HERE)

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Other D.C. Madam Associates Discuss Potential Election Bombshell

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A former attorney for “D.C. madam” Deborah Jeane Palfrey kicked off a viral news speculation frenzy last week, claiming he possesses previously unreleased phone records that are “very relevant” to the presidential election and that he’s prepared to risk jail to release them.

Conversations with people close to the high-profile escort case corroborate some claims from Montgomery Blair Sibley about the nature of documents he says he possesses but have added uncertainty as to whether a presidential candidate actually is identified.

Sibley says he has two sets of records that he wants court permission to release: a set of raw phone records from Palfrey’s escort service with an estimated 5,000 unique numbers and a Verizon Wireless subpoena response with names, addresses and Social Security numbers of 815 of those callers.

On March 28, he offered the federal court system a soft two-week deadline to consider lifting a 2007 restraining order, lest he consider that order void and release records. He says he has loaded the records online with a 72-hour dead man’s switch, as he considers his next step.

Sibley told U.S. News in a Thursday interview that the Verizon subpoena response contains the purported bombshell. “In and of itself, it contains it, but there’s more to the story than just the response [and that additional information is in] the unknown 5,000,” he says. (Read more from “Other D.C. Madam Associates Discuss Potential Election Bombshell” HERE)

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Wall St Is Pretty Certain This Candidate Will Be President

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In the polling places and on the airwaves, there remains a high level of uncertainty about who will be the next U.S. president. Not so on Wall Street and the markets.

Recent indications from deep-pocketed institutional investors as well as those who frequent prediction markets say Hillary Clinton will win. And it’s not close.

More than 70 percent of respondents to a recent Citigroup poll of institutional clients viewed the former secretary of state, first lady and New York senator as the likely 45th president. Just over 10 percent give Donald Trump the nod, while fellow Republican John Kasich is a few points behind. Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Ted Cruz barely register. (The poll was taken before Sanders and Cruz scored big primary wins Tuesday in Wisconsin.)

The online predictions markets, where traders can place their bets on politics and a host of other events, tell a similar story.

On PredictIt, Clinton traded early Wednesday at a price of 59 cents a share, which equates to the probability participants give her to be the ultimate winner. Trump is at 17 cents, Sanders at 16 cents and Cruz at 15 cents. (Read more from “Wall St Is Pretty Certain This Candidate Will Be President” HERE)

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A Shocking Poll Was Just Released – This Could Change the Whole GOP Nomination Race

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For the first time in the Republican primary, Reuters’ tracking poll shows Texas Sen. Ted Cruz leading Donald Trump among likely voters in the Republican primaries.

This is also the first time Donald Trump hasn’t led the tracking poll in 2016.

Cruz has the support of 39 percent of likely Republican voters nationwide, just ahead of Donald Trump, who has 37 percent support. Ohio Governor John Kasich is a distant third, with 23 percent support.

In the broader survey of all Republicans, rather than likely voters, Trump still has a four-point lead. This, however, is sharply down from the 28-point lead he enjoyed in the middle of March . . .

The Reuters tracking poll is based on a five-day rolling average of results. Each day, a new round of daily interviews are added to the tracking poll, while older interviews are dropped from the tracking poll. As a result, there can be daily blips in the poll. The overall trend, however, is unmistakable. Trump has lost a considerable amount of support in the past two weeks and Cruz’s support has surged. (Read more from “A Shocking Poll Was Just Released – This Could Change the Whole GOP Nomination Race” HERE)

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