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Poll: Republicans Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot Shrinks to 5 Points

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Republicans lead Democrats on the generic congressional ballot by five points, five points lower than the previous week, on a Rasmussen Reports poll released Friday.

While the Republicans look to retake control of Congress in the 2022 midterm elections — which are only 102 days away — after being in the minority for roughly four years, the most recent Rasmussen Reports survey showed that 46 percent of likely U.S. voters would elect a Republican, compared to the 41 percent who said they would vote for the Democrat.

Thus the Republicans only have a five-piont lead, five less then the previous week when they were up by ten pionts. Five percent said they would vote for another candidate, and the other nine percent said they were unsure.

The Republicans’ five-point lead shows that the party has lost a growing momentum in the polls. However, while there is under four months left until the election, there is still time for the generic ballot to move either way before November. But the Republicans have led the generic ballot all year. (Read more from “Poll: Republicans Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot Shrinks to 5 Points” HERE)

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One Major Group of Voters Fleeing ‘Woke’ Politics of Democrats

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After this month’s historic special election win in South Texas, Republican strategists nationwide are asking themselves: how can we replicate now-Congresswoman Mayra Flores’s success in flipping an 84% Hispanic district to the GOP? Meantime, Democrats are burying their heads in the South Texas sand as Hispanic voters flee their party.

It’s not rocket science to appeal to Hispanic voters and persuade them to vote Republican. My firm’s work with the Hispanic Republican Coalition of Pennsylvania shows how to do it.

Our polling shows us that welcoming Hispanic voters to the GOP requires something fairly simple: a message on key issues, delivered in English and Spanish.

Take our recent poll of Hispanic voters in Pennsylvania’s swingy 7th and 8th congressional districts in the Lehigh Valley, a booming logistics hub, and in historically Democratic Northeastern Pennsylvania. These areas are packed with manufacturing and warehousing jobs, and workers have flocked to them. Many Hispanic families came here two generations ago for a better quality of life; more arrived in recent years from the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, by way of New York City. Their concerns are those of working people: high gas prices, a baby formula shortage, and soaring crime.

A significant number of Hispanic voters here say that they’re registered Democrats who now consider themselves Republicans. In our polling, Democrats are leading the generic Senate ballot by 50-38%, with 9% of Hispanic voters undecided. If we split those undecided voters in November, the result – winning support from over four in ten Pennsylvania Hispanics – would be a sea change in voting habits, driving several endangered Democrats out of their seats and retaining the open U.S. Senate seat for Republican Mehmet Oz. (Read more from “One Major Group of Voters Fleeing ‘Woke’ Politics of Democrats” HERE)

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GOP/Dem Spending Bill Funds Border Security for Eight Foreign Countries

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A Democrat spending bill, negotiated with Republicans, uses American taxpayer money to fund “border security” measures in eight foreign countries while including no new funds to construct a border wall along the United States-Mexico border.

The government funding package spends about $370 million in taxpayer money to fund “enhanced border security” in Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt, Tunisia, and Oman. At least $150 million of that funding is allocated for Jordan’s borders.

Likewise, the package includes taxpayer money to fund border security in Libya, “border security activities” in Nepal, and “border security programs” in Pakistan.

Though Republicans were able to preserve nearly $2 billion in previously-allocated border wall construction funds, the package does not include any new border wall funding. (Read more from “GOP/Dem Spending Bill Funds Border Security for Eight Foreign Countries” HERE)

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GOP Leaders Demand Fauci Answer for Emails Admitting Possible Lab Leak, Intentional Genetic Manipulation

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High-ranking members of the GOP are demanding answers from Dr. Anthony Fauci after newly released emails suggest he warned fellow health bureaucrats that COVID-19 could have leaked from the Wuhan Insitute of Virology (WIV) and that it might have been “genetically manipulated.”

In a letter to Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra, Republicans on the congressional Committee on Oversight and Reform and the Committee on the Judiciary are requesting that Fauci testify under oath after emails show he may have intentionally shielded information about COVID’s origins from the Trump White House and the American public.

“It is imperative we investigate if this information was conveyed to the rest of the government and whether this information would have changed the U.S. response to the pandemic,” Reps. James Comer and Jim Jordan wrote. (Read more from “GOP Leaders Demand Fauci Answer for Emails Admitting Possible Lab Leak, Intentional Genetic Manipulation” HERE)

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Will GOP Governors Engage the Culture War Enough to Keep States Red?

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On this episode of The Federalist Radio Hour, Federalist Western Correspondent Tristan Justice joins Culture Editor Emily Jashinsky to discuss what he learned about the state of the GOP from the Republican Governors Association annual conference in Phoenix earlier this month.

“It’s important to note that all these different states have different issues to run on, but education is really at the focal point of the culture war, and Republicans, I think, would be wise to follow the model of Glenn Younkin and adopt this issue and become champions for kids’ education. But again, they have other issues to run on as well,” Justice said.

Other issues that the GOP plans to harness in the 2022 midterms include immigration, inflation, and energy costs. (Read more from “Will GOP Governors Engage the Culture War Enough to Keep States Red?” HERE)

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Poll: GOP Holds Largest Lead in Early Midterm Election Preferences in 40 Years

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Republicans currently have the largest lead in the generic congressional ballot they have had since 1981, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll released Sunday.

“As things stand, if the midterm elections were today, 51 percent of registered voters say they’d support the Republican candidate in their congressional district, 41 percent the Democrat,” reads a press release from Langer Research, which conducted the poll for ABC News/Washington Post. “That’s the biggest lead for the Republicans in 110 ABC/Post polls to ask this question since November 1981. Indeed, it’s only the second time the GOP has held a statistically significant advantage (the other was +7 points in January 2002) and the ninth time it’s held any numerical edge at all.”

Independents, who are often considered the swing vote in elections, would support the GOP candidate by a 50-32 percent margin. This is notable considering they voted +12 points for the Democratic Party in the 2018 elections, which were the most recent midterm election. (Read more from “Poll: GOP Holds Largest Lead in Early Midterm Election Preferences in 40 Years” HERE)

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Data: GOP Surging in the ‘Burbs, Dems Losing Hispanics, ‘Woke’ Messaging Alienating Swing Voters

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Let’s review a few more polling notes in the wake of last week’s Republican victories. One of the keys to the Virginia statewide sweep, in addition to extremely strong GOP base turnout, was a shift toward the GOP in the suburbs. This wasn’t just true in Northern Virginia, where Glenn Youngkin cut into Democratic margins, but in other suburban areas that swung red. We analyzed a recent NBC News poll showing substantial Republican nationwide advantages on major issues. This Politico/Morning Consult survey shows much of the same, with the opposition party developing strong leads among suburban voters in particular:

A full 15-point swing in Republicans’ favor on the economy in ten months, which isn’t far off from the 12-to-13 point shift in the vote margins in both Virginia and New Jersey (Biden margin vs. 2021 gubernatorial margin). Notice that the GOP now holds significant, sometimes commanding leads, in the ‘burbs on national security, the economy, jobs, immigration, and even guns. They’re also competitive on issues that typically heavily favor Democrats, like healthcare, voting rights, energy, and…education. On the education front, these two tweets may help explain why voters are moving away from Democrats:

(Read more from “Data: GOP Surging in the ‘Burbs, Dems Losing Hispanics, ‘Woke’ Messaging Alienating Swing Voters” HERE)

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Anti-Trump Republicans Endorsing Vulnerable Democrats To Prevent GOP Takeover

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A group of anti-Trump Republicans on Thursday endorsed a slate of Democrats and centrist Republicans in the 2022 midterms to fight against the former president’s hold on the party.

The Renew America Movement (RAM) announced it is backing a slew of lawmakers running for reelection. The group was founded by a group of moderates within the GOP after the Jan. 6 insurrection, which was fueled by then-President Trump’s lies about the election being stolen in November.

“There is an urgent effort by Republicans and former Republicans to stem the tide of anti-democratic and lie-based Republican leaders in congress before it’s too late,” RAM said in an announcement. . .

Among the endorsees are the handful of Republicans who have criticized Trump, including Rep. Liz Cheney (Wyo.), who is the former president’s public enemy No. 1 over her repeated criticism of him over the insurrection, and Rep. Adam Kinzinger (Ill.), who may not have a seat to run for after redistricting in Illinois. (Read more from “Anti-Trump Republicans Endorsing Vulnerable Democrats To Prevent GOP Takeover” HERE)

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House Republicans Introduce Articles of Impeachment Against Secretary of State Blinken

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Two Republican congressmen have introduced articles of impeachment in the House of Representatives against Secretary of State Antony Blinken, citing “failures of planning, execution, and leadership in Afghanistan.”

Reps. Andy Harris (R-Md.) and Ralph Norman (R-S.C.) on Friday blamed Blinken for the “loss of American lives” and endangerment of “countless other American and allied lives” after a suicide bomb attack at Kabul’s international airport killed 13 U.S. service members and dozens of Afghans. An Afghanistan affiliate of ISIS took credit for the blast, which killed more than 100 people in total.

The terrorist attack and American casualties were the latest developments in what Harris called an “unmitigated catastrophe” in Afghanistan after President Joe Biden’s administration began withdrawing U.S. troops from the region. Biden’s officials were caught by complete surprise on Aug. 15 when the Taliban seized the capital Kabul and the Western-backed Afghan government and army collapsed, placing the Islamic militants in control of the country. . .

The articles of impeachment single out the State Department for promising in April that the American Embassy in Kabul could be kept open and operational for more than 1,400 American citizens in Afghanistan after U.S. troops completed their planned withdrawal, and then failing to keep that promise.

“Secretary Blinken has failed to faithfully uphold his oath and has instead presided over a reckless abandonment of our nation’s interests, security, and values in his role in the withdrawal of American forces and diplomatic assets from Afghanistan,” the articles of impeachment state. (Read more from “House Republicans Introduce Articles of Impeachment Against Secretary of State Blinken” HERE)

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GOP Wants Answers On Missing Mueller Phones

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Two Republican senators are pressing for answers about apparently missing phones belonging to special counsel Robert Mueller’s Trump-Russia investigative team that the Justice Department cannot locate, per its watchdog.

Sens. Chuck Grassley of Iowa and Ron Johnson of Wisconsin told Attorney General Merrick Garland they are “asking the Justice Department for more information and records” after learning that the DOJ “could not locate 59 of the 96 phones” used by Mueller’s team and after discovering that the department “failed to review over twenty phones for federal record preservation.”

DOJ Inspector General Michael Horowitz wrote to Johnson and Grassley in May, noting in a letter obtained by the Washington Examiner that the DOJ’s Justice Management Division took possession of 79 of 96 Mueller team phones in a property transfer from the special counsel’s office in June 2019. A DOJ iPhone record review spreadsheet documented that only approximately 74 of the phones were reviewed for records. Horowitz said that records such as notes and text messages were sent to DOJ or FBI email systems for preservation.

Horowitz detailed the location of some of the phones, including the devices belonging to former FBI lawyer Lisa Page and fired FBI special agent Peter Strzok, which remain secured in a safe at the DOJ, but the inspector general said the DOJ’s JMD currently does not know the whereabouts of 59 of the 96 team phones. (Read more from “GOP Wants Answers On Missing Mueller Phones” HERE)

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